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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Concarneau
T T T U S
0–1
Full-time
St Etienne
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Concarneau St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Concarneau 18. · St Etienne 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 6 4 1 1 +4 13
2 Caen 6 4 0 2 +7 12
3 Auxerre 7 3 3 1 +5 12
4 Amiens 6 4 0 2 +1 12
5 Guingamp 6 3 1 2 +6 10
6 Grenoble 6 2 4 0 +3 10
7 Bordeaux 6 3 1 2 -1 10
8 Rodez 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Bastia 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 St Etienne 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Pau FC 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Angers 6 2 2 2 -1 8
13 Troyes 7 1 4 2 +0 7
14 Annecy 6 1 4 1 +0 7
15 Paris FC 6 2 0 4 -2 6
16 Dunkerque 6 1 3 2 -3 6
17 Ajaccio 6 1 3 2 -5 6
18 Concarneau 6 1 2 3 -5 5
19 Valenciennes 6 1 2 3 -6 5
20 Quevilly Rouen 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Concarneau St Etienne
32′
🟨 Dylan Batubinsika
Half-time 0–0
66′
🔁 I. Sissoko
↦ G. Charbonnier
Maxime Etuin 🟨
70′
I. Matondo 🔁
↦ B. Mouazan
71′
T. Sinquin 🔁
↦ A. Phliponeau
71′
73′
I. Sissoko 0–1
M. Cafaro
77′
🔁 M. Bentayg
↦ S. Diarra
77′
🔁 A. Moueffek
↦ L. Fomba
A. Urie 🔁
↦ Y. Merdji
83′
N. Ndombasi 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
83′
85′
🔁 V. Lobry
↦ B. Bouchouari
85′
🔁 D. Chambost
↦ M. Cafaro
J. Faussurier 🔁
↦ R. Sans
91′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Concarneau

4-4-2
30 E. Salles G
2 A. Georgen D
4 G. Jannez D
12 J. Célestine D
23 R. Sans D
21 N. Chadli M
6 A. Phliponeau M
17 M. Etuin M
20 B. Mouazan M
14 P. Bâ F
18 Y. Merdji F
Bench (7)
7 I. Matondo
26 T. Sinquin
11 A. Urie
9 N. Ndombasi
33 J. Faussurier
1 M. Pattier
28 I. Paro

Coach: S. Le Mignan

St Etienne

4-3-3
30 G. Larsonneur G
8 D. Appiah D
21 D. Batubinsika D
23 A. Briançon D
19 L. Pétrot D
26 L. Fomba M
5 F. Tardieu M
6 B. Bouchouari M
18 M. Cafaro F
10 G. Charbonnier F
17 S. Diarra F
Bench (7)
9 I. Sissoko
13 M. Bentayg
29 A. Moueffek
22 V. Lobry
14 D. Chambost
20 M. Rivera
42 E. Green

Coach: L. Batlles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,14
U
3,34
B ✓
2,23
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.