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Bundesliga
Referee: Frank Willenborg
Hertha
S T U S U
2–1
Full-time
FC Koln
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
2,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 5. · FC Koln 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 7 5 2 0 +14 17
2 FC Koln 7 4 3 0 +8 15
3 RB Leipzig 7 4 3 0 +7 15
4 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 +5 14
5 Hertha 7 4 2 1 +4 14
6 Dortmund 7 4 1 2 +10 13
7 Hoffenheim 7 3 4 0 +3 13
8 Mainz 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 M'gladbach 7 3 2 2 +0 11
10 Leverkusen 7 3 1 3 +2 10
11 Freiburg 7 3 0 4 -3 9
12 Augsburg 7 2 2 3 -3 8
13 Werder Bremen 7 2 1 4 -9 7
14 Wolfsburg 7 1 3 3 -4 6
15 Darmstadt 7 1 2 4 -9 5
16 Schalke 04 7 1 1 5 -4 4
17 Hamburg 8 0 2 6 -13 2
18 FC Ingolstadt 04 7 0 1 6 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha FC Koln
1–0 V. Ibišević
M. Weiser
13′
Sebastian Langkamp 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Bittencourt
↦ Y. Ōsako
65′
A. Modeste 1–1
L. Bittencourt
J. Schieber 🔁
↦ A. Esswein
68′
68′
🔁 S. Zoller
↦ K. Rausch
73′
🟨 Dominique Heintz
2–1 N. Stark
J. Schieber
74′
79′
🔁 A. Rudņevs
↦ D. Heintz
Allan 🔁
↦ S. Kalou
83′
John Brooks 🟨
90′
S. Allagui 🔁
↦ V. Ibišević
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
15 S. Langkamp D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
23 M. Weiser D
25 J. Brooks D
5 N. Stark D
3 P. Skjelbred M
7 A. Esswein M
24 G. Haraguchi M
19 V. Ibišević F
8 S. Kalou M
Bench (7)
16 J. Schieber
20 Allan
11 S. Allagui
18 S. Kurt
36 J. Kade
1 T. Kraft
2 P. Pekarík

Coach: P. Dárdai

FC Koln

4-4-2
1 T. Horn G
15 M. Mavraj D
34 K. Rausch D
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
33 M. Lehmann M
7 M. Risse M
6 M. Höger M
27 A. Modeste F
13 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
21 L. Bittencourt
11 S. Zoller
9 A. Rudņevs
16 P. Olkowski
20 S. Özcan
18 T. Kessler
5 D. Maroh

Coach: P. Stöger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Frank Willenborg · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.