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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

Dortmund

T T T U U

1–2

Full-time

Werder Bremen

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

4,5

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 29%

43%

14%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

79%

29%

Both score Ø 47%

64%

29%

Average goals

3,9

1,8

Scored

2,4

0,6

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

12 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 7. · Werder Bremen 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	2	2	+23	32
2	RB Leipzig	14	8	2	4	+3	26
3	Schalke 04	14	7	4	3	+6	25
4	Leverkusen	15	6	6	3	+10	24
5	M'gladbach	14	7	3	4	-2	24
6	Hoffenheim	14	6	5	3	+7	23
7	Dortmund	14	6	4	4	+13	22
8	Augsburg	14	6	4	4	+5	22
9	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	4	4	+2	22
10	Hannover	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Wolfsburg	14	3	8	3	+1	17
12	Hertha	14	4	5	5	-2	17
13	Stuttgart	15	5	2	8	-6	17
14	Mainz	14	4	3	7	-7	15
15	Hamburg	14	4	2	8	-7	14
16	Freiburg	14	2	6	6	-16	12
17	Werder Bremen	14	2	5	7	-7	11
18	FC Koln	14	0	3	11	-21	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	RB Leipzig	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Stuttgart	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	Hoffenheim	8	4	3	1	+7	15
5	Schalke 04	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Leverkusen	7	3	4	0	+8	13
7	Mainz	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	M'gladbach	7	4	1	2	+0	13
9	Hannover	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Wolfsburg	8	2	5	1	+2	11
12	Freiburg	8	2	5	1	+1	11
13	Hertha	8	3	2	3	-1	11
14	Dortmund	6	3	1	2	+9	10
15	Hamburg	7	3	1	3	+0	10
16	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	1	3	-1	7
17	Werder Bremen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
18	FC Koln	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	3	1	+3	15
2	Bayern Munich	7	4	1	2	+5	13
3	Dortmund	8	3	3	2	+4	12
4	Leverkusen	8	3	2	3	+2	11
5	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	M'gladbach	7	3	2	2	-2	11
7	Schalke 04	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	RB Leipzig	8	3	1	4	-5	10
9	Hoffenheim	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Hannover	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Wolfsburg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Hertha	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Werder Bremen	7	0	4	3	-4	4
14	Hamburg	7	1	1	5	-7	4
15	Mainz	6	0	2	4	-8	2
16	FC Koln	8	0	2	6	-12	2
17	Stuttgart	8	0	1	7	-11	1
18	Freiburg	6	0	1	5	-17	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.