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Bundesliga
Referee: C Ciochirca
Tirol
S T S S U
2–4
Full-time
Salzburg
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
2,8
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 61%
47%
75%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
60%
75%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
63%
Average goals
3,3
4,1
Scored
1,8
3,1
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 22
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 5. · Salzburg 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 16 12 1 3 +34 37
2 SK Rapid 16 11 3 2 +15 36
3 Sturm Graz 16 9 4 3 +15 31
4 LASK 16 9 3 4 +16 30
5 Tirol 15 7 3 5 +5 24
6 Wolfsberger AC 16 6 3 7 -4 21
7 Austria Vienna 16 4 6 6 -3 18
8 St. Polten 16 4 4 8 -5 16
9 Hartberg 15 3 6 6 -13 15
10 Ried 16 4 2 10 -16 14
11 Admira 16 3 3 10 -23 12
12 Altach 16 3 2 11 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Oct -20 Salzburg – Tirol 5–0 7. Dec -19 Salzburg – Tirol 5–1 31. Aug -19 Tirol – Salzburg 1–5

Match report

Tirol Salzburg
1–0 F. Koch ⚽
10′
T. Anselm 🔁
↦ Z. Dedič
28′
31′
⚽ P. Daka 1–1
A. Vallci
Half-time 1–1
Florian Rieder 🟨
52′
58′
🔁 S. Koïta
↦ K. Adeyemi
59′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ L. Sučić
Nemanja Celic 🟨
63′
69′
🔁 B. Aaronson
↦ E. Mwepu
J. Naschberger 🔁
↦ F. Rieder
72′
2–1 N. Frederiksen ⚽
78′
79′
⚽ M. Berisha 2–2
85′
🟨 Mohamed Camara
J. Gölles 🔁
↦ Ž. Rogelj
85′
Bruno Soares 🔁
↦ N. Frederiksen
85′
89′
⚽ P. Daka 2–3
90′
⚽ S. Koïta 2–4
92′
🔁 D. Affengruber
↦ Z. Junuzović
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Tirol

4-4-2
25 F. Oswald G
24 F. Koch D
4 D. Gugganig D
30 R. Behounek D
43 N. Celic M
28 D. Schnegg D
6 T. Petsos M
16 F. Rieder M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
22 Z. Dedič F
9 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (7)
20 T. Anselm
17 J. Naschberger
14 J. Gölles
44 Bruno Soares
12 B. Ozegovic
7 B. Pranter
34 S. Hager

Coach: T. Silberberger

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
1 C. Stanković G
17 A. Ulmer D
15 André Ramalho D
5 A. Vallci D
43 R. Kristensen D
16 Z. Junuzović M
45 E. Mwepu M
21 L. Sučić M
8 M. Berisha M
20 P. Daka F
27 K. Adeyemi F
Bench (7)
7 S. Koïta
19 M. Camara
11 B. Aaronson
42 D. Affengruber
25 P. Farkas
22 O. Solet
23 N. Mantl

Coach: J. Marsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Ciochirca · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.