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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
Salzburg
S S S S S
4–2
Full-time
SK Rapid
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 71%
76%
65%
Points per game
2,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
76%
65%
Both score Ø 68%
65%
71%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
3,2
2,1
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
25 Shots 8
12 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · SK Rapid 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 17 13 1 3 +36 40
2 SK Rapid 17 11 4 2 +15 37
3 LASK 18 11 3 4 +19 36
4 Sturm Graz 18 9 4 5 +12 31
5 Wolfsberger AC 18 8 3 7 -2 27
6 Tirol 17 7 3 7 +2 24
7 Austria Vienna 18 5 6 7 +0 21
8 St. Polten 18 5 5 8 -4 20
9 Hartberg 17 4 7 6 -12 19
10 Ried 18 4 4 10 -16 16
11 Admira 18 3 3 12 -25 12
12 Altach 18 3 3 12 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Nov -20 SK Rapid – Salzburg 1–1 24. Jun -20 SK Rapid – Salzburg 2–7 3. Jun -20 Salzburg – SK Rapid 2–0 27. Oct -19 Salzburg – SK Rapid 3–2 26. Jul -19 SK Rapid – Salzburg 0–2

Match report

Salzburg SK Rapid
Patson Daka 🟨
3′
14′
🟨 Dejan Petrović
1–0 P. Daka ⚽
M. Berisha
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Grahovac
↦ T. Fountas
2–0 P. Daka ⚽
M. Berisha
64′
69′
🔁 Y. Demir
↦ C. Knasmüllner
3–0 P. Daka ⚽
M. Berisha
70′
K. Adeyemi 🔁
↦ P. Daka
72′
L. Sučić 🔁
↦ Z. Junuzović
73′
N. Seiwald 🔁
↦ E. Mwepu
73′
75′
🔁 L. Schuster
↦ M. Ritzmaier
76′
🔁 L. Greiml
↦ D. Ljubičić
76′
🔁 K. Arase
↦ T. Schick
O. Solet 🔁
↦ A. Ulmer
77′
P. Farkas 🔁
↦ R. Kristensen
77′
91′
⚽ L. Schuster 3–1
4–1 K. Adeyemi ⚽
M. Berisha
92′
94′
⚽ E. Kara 4–2
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-3
1 C. Stanković G
17 A. Ulmer D
15 André Ramalho D
5 A. Vallci D
43 R. Kristensen D
16 Z. Junuzović M
28 A. Bernède M
45 E. Mwepu M
11 B. Aaronson F
8 M. Berisha F
20 P. Daka F
Bench (6)
27 K. Adeyemi
21 L. Sučić
13 N. Seiwald
22 O. Solet
25 P. Farkas
23 N. Mantl

Coach: J. Marsch

SK Rapid

3-4-3
1 R. Strebinger G
22 F. Stojković D
31 M. Ullmann M
4 M. Barać D
28 C. Knasmüllner F
13 T. Schick M
8 M. Ritzmaier M
16 D. Petrovič M
39 D. Ljubičić D
9 T. Fountas F
29 E. Kara F
Bench (7)
14 S. Grahovac
48 Y. Demir
42 L. Schuster
30 L. Greiml
36 K. Arase
32 K. Kitagawa
25 P. Gartler

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Harkam · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.