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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
Aris Thessalonikis
U T
4–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,3
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,0
This season — Super League · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,3
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

14 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 11. · Panathinaikos 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 PAOK 3 3 0 0 +3 9
3 Xanthi 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 Volos NFC 4 3 0 1 -2 9
5 OFI Crete 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 AEK 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Aris 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Panionios 3 1 0 2 -1 3
9 Atromitos 3 0 2 1 -1 2
10 Lamia 3 0 2 1 -2 2
11 Aris Thessalonikis 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Larisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
13 Panathinaikos 3 0 1 2 -6 1
14 Asteras Tripolis 3 0 0 3 -3 0
15 Panetolikos 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos
1–0 I. Fetfatzidis ⚽
19′
2–0 Fran Vélez ⚽
I. Fetfatzidis
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Kolovos
↦ T. Mavromatis
3–0 N. Diguiny ⚽
Bruno Gama
54′
59′
🔁 I. Chatzitheodoridis
↦ G. Zahid
D. Larsson 🔁
↦ Bruno Gama
63′
4–0 B. Ideye ⚽
N. Diguiny
64′
67′
🟨 Emanuel Insua
69′
🔁 J. Perea
↦ E. Insúa
71′
🟨 Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
D. Mancini 🔁
↦ I. Fetfatzidis
73′
Javier Matilla 🟨
74′
G. Delizisis 🔁
↦ Fran Vélez
83′
88′
🟨 Federico Macheda
90′
🟨 Mattias Johansson
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
21 D. Sundgren M
69 M. Korhut D
92 L. Rose D
44 Fran Vélez D
16 Bruno Gama M
7 N. Diguiny F
26 Matilla M
28 I. Fetfatzidis M
88 Lucas Sasha M
11 B. Ideye F
Bench (7)
10 D. Larsson
24 D. Mancini
5 G. Delizisis
8 L. Duarte
1 F. Ehmann
22 D. Konstantinidis
18 N. Martínez

Coach: A. Terzis

Panathinaikos

5-3-2
1 S. Dioudis G
2 M. Johansson D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
3 E. Insúa D
44 A. Poungouras D
24 T. Mavromatis D
10 G. Zahid M
8 C. Donis M
18 I. Bouzoukis M
11 T. Chatzigiovanis F
9 F. Macheda F
Bench (7)
7 D. Kolovos
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis
19 J. Perea
30 João Nunes
14 Y. Mollo
27 K. Kotsaris
55 S. Alexandropoulos

Coach: G. Donis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.