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Bundesliga

Referee: Christian Dingert

Hoffenheim

T T U S T

1–1

Full-time

Freiburg

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,2

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 31%

35%

26%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

57%

52%

Both score Ø 59%

65%

52%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

13 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 9. · Freiburg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	23	19	2	2	+37	59
2	Dortmund	23	11	7	5	+19	40
3	Ein Frankfurt	23	11	6	6	+6	39
4	Leverkusen	23	10	8	5	+13	38
5	RB Leipzig	23	11	5	7	+5	38
6	Schalke 04	23	10	7	6	+6	37
7	Hannover	23	8	8	7	-1	32
8	Augsburg	23	8	7	8	+3	31
9	Hoffenheim	23	8	7	8	+0	31
10	M'gladbach	23	9	4	10	-5	31
11	Hertha	23	7	9	7	+0	30
12	Freiburg	23	6	10	7	-13	28
13	Stuttgart	23	8	3	12	-8	27
14	Wolfsburg	24	4	13	7	-4	25
15	Mainz	24	6	6	12	-13	24
16	Werder Bremen	23	5	8	10	-7	23
17	Hamburg	23	4	5	14	-16	17
18	FC Koln	23	3	5	15	-22	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	10	1	0	+25	31
2	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+11	24
3	Schalke 04	12	6	4	2	+6	22
4	Stuttgart	11	7	1	3	+4	22
5	Hoffenheim	11	6	3	2	+7	21
6	Hannover	11	6	3	2	+7	21
7	Freiburg	12	5	6	1	+4	21
8	M'gladbach	12	6	2	4	+2	20
9	Leverkusen	11	5	4	2	+7	19
10	Augsburg	12	5	4	3	+6	19
11	Dortmund	11	5	3	3	+11	18
12	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	3	4	+3	18
13	Mainz	12	5	2	5	-2	17
14	Hertha	12	4	4	4	-1	16
15	Wolfsburg	12	2	7	3	-1	13
16	Werder Bremen	11	3	4	4	-1	13
17	Hamburg	12	3	3	6	-4	12
18	FC Koln	12	2	3	7	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	1	2	+12	28
2	Dortmund	12	6	4	2	+8	22
3	Ein Frankfurt	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	Leverkusen	12	5	4	3	+6	19
5	Schalke 04	11	4	3	4	+0	15
6	Hertha	11	3	5	3	+1	14
7	RB Leipzig	12	4	2	6	-6	14
8	Augsburg	11	3	3	5	-3	12
9	Wolfsburg	12	2	6	4	-3	12
10	M'gladbach	11	3	2	6	-7	11
11	Hannover	12	2	5	5	-8	11
12	Werder Bremen	12	2	4	6	-6	10
13	Hoffenheim	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Mainz	12	1	4	7	-11	7
15	Freiburg	11	1	4	6	-17	7
16	Stuttgart	12	1	2	9	-12	5
17	Hamburg	11	1	2	8	-12	5
18	FC Koln	11	1	2	8	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.