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Super League
Referee: A Tsamouris
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Xanthi Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Super League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

5 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Xanthi 5. · Asteras Tripolis 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 PAOK 3 3 0 0 +3 9
3 Volos NFC 4 3 0 1 -2 9
4 OFI Crete 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Xanthi 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 AEK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Panionios 3 1 0 2 -1 3
8 Lamia 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Atromitos 3 0 2 1 -1 2
10 Aris 2 0 1 1 -1 1
11 Aris Thessalonikis 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Larisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
14 Asteras Tripolis 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 Panetolikos 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Xanthi Asteras Tripolis
1–0 P. Đuričković
Sturgeon
19′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Kotsiras
↦ G. Antzoulas
2–0 Sturgeon
A. Karasalidis
55′
57′
Marc Fernández 2–1
J. Barrales
William 🔁
↦ P. Đuričković
65′
66′
🟨 Jose Luis Valiente Gimenez
J. Faucher 🔁
↦ J. Barrientos
73′
73′
🔁 Eneko Jauregi
↦ Adrián Riera
K. Camara 🔁
↦ Sturgeon
81′
83′
🟨 Triantafyllos Pasalidis
85′
🔁 M. Iglesias
↦ J. Munafo
88′
🟨 Giannis Kotsiras
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Xanthi

4-2-3-1
92 Vitor São Bento G
2 M. Dyrestam D
4 A. Karasalidis D
31 C. Lisgaras D
25 L. Sosa M
3 J. Barrientos M
28 M. Terki F
12 Eduardo
7 Sturgeon M
10 P. Đuričković M
9 A. Kovačević M
Bench (7)
91 William
11 J. Faucher
8 K. Camara
30 P. Stathakis
23 S. Malezas
6 Pablo de Lucas
75 T. Moulin

Coach: Kiko Ramírez

Asteras Tripolis

4-4-2
1 N. Papadopoulos G
33 Ángel Martínez D
42 G. Antzoulas D
4 T. Pasalidis D
12 J. Munafo M
7 Marc Fernández
5 Eneko Capilla M
6 José Luis Valiente
23 Adrián Riera
30 J. Barrales F
10 Luis Fernández F
Bench (7)
27 G. Kotsiras
19 Eneko Jauregi
17 M. Iglesias
3 C. Tasoulis
93 N. Michael
15 Dani Suárez
21 P. Tzimas

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
2,96
B
3,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,52
U2,5
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.