Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sogndal
Sandefjord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aalesund
|
22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | +32 | 57 |
| 2 |
Start
|
22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | +16 | 46 |
| 3 |
Sandefjord
|
21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | +14 | 45 |
| 4 |
KFUM Oslo
|
22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +15 | 39 |
| 5 |
Kongsvinger
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +1 | 34 |
| 6 |
Raufoss
|
22 | 11 | 1 | 10 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 |
Sogndal
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +8 | 33 |
| 8 |
Nest-Sotra
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +8 | 33 |
| 9 |
Jerv
|
22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | -6 | 29 |
| 10 |
Ull/Kisa
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | +0 | 25 |
| 11 |
Sandnes ULF
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -3 | 23 |
| 12 |
Ham-Kam
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 |
Notodden
|
21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -12 | 18 |
| 14 |
Strommen
|
22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -14 | 18 |
| 15 |
Skeid
|
22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -13 | 16 |
| 16 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | -37 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Dyngeland
U. Fredriksen
E. Schulze
J. Soltvedt
Coach: E. Bakke
V. Jonsson
Coach: Martí Cifuentes
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Start
Sogndal
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
Tromsdalen Uil
Sogndal
Sogndal
Aalesund
Notodden
Sogndal
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.