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2. Bundesliga

Darmstadt

U S T U T

3–3

Full-time

Nurnberg

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

20%

60%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,6

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

12 Shots 26

6 Shots on target 7

5 Corners 8

19 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Darmstadt 15. · Nurnberg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	6	4	2	0	+4	14
2	Hamburg	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Bielefeld	6	3	3	0	+6	12
4	Greuther Furth	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Osnabruck	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Karlsruhe	6	3	0	3	-2	9
8	Heidenheim	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Erzgebirge Aue	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Regensburg	6	2	1	3	+3	7
11	Nurnberg	5	2	1	2	-3	7
12	St Pauli	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Dresden	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Hannover	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Darmstadt	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Holstein Kiel	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Bochum	5	0	2	3	-4	2
18	Wehen	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Osnabruck	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Karlsruhe	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Sandhausen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Greuther Furth	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Bielefeld	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Holstein Kiel	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Darmstadt	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Heidenheim	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Dresden	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Regensburg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	St Pauli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Bochum	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Hannover	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Wehen	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Greuther Furth	3	1	2	0	+2	5
4	Stuttgart	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Regensburg	3	1	1	1	+4	4
6	Heidenheim	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Sandhausen	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Erzgebirge Aue	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Osnabruck	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Hannover	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Karlsruhe	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	St Pauli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Wehen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Dresden	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Darmstadt	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Bochum	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Holstein Kiel	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.