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Süper Lig
Referee: V Bayarslan
Ankaragücü
U U S
0–4
Full-time
Yeni Malatyaspor
S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Yeni Malatyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 10
3 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 9. · Yeni Malatyaspor 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Fenerbahce 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Denizlispor 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Rizespor 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Galatasaray 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Gaziantep 4 2 1 1 -1 7
7 Sivasspor 4 1 2 1 +2 5
8 Trabzonspor 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Ankaragücü 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Antalyaspor 4 1 2 1 -1 5
11 Besiktas 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Buyuksehyr 4 1 1 2 -3 4
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 3 1 0 2 +1 3
14 Konyaspor 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Kayserispor 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Goztep 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Kasimpasa 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Genclerbirligi 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Yeni Malatyaspor
25′
🟨 Mitchell Donald
26′
⚽ A. Jahović 0–1
Guilherme
Ante Kulušić 🟨
29′
33′
⚽ T. Bifouma 0–2
Guilherme
43′
⚽ Guilherme 0–3
I. Chebake
Stelios Kitsiou 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–3
51′
🟨 Ghailene Chaalali
M. Sak 🔁
↦ A. Karabulut
60′
R. Faty 🔁
↦ S. Ağçay
64′
71′
🟨 Afriyie Acquah
73′
🔁 M. Yıldırım
↦ G. Chalali
Stelios Kitsiou 🟨
76′
Stelios Kitsiou 🟥
76′
81′
🔁 R. Çağıran
↦ T. Bifouma
82′
⚽ M. Donald 0–4
88′
🔁 Ö. Özdemir
↦ Guilherme
C. Karayel 🔁
↦ W. Moke
89′
Tiago Pinto 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
1 K. Çelikay G
22 M. Pazdan D
13 A. Kulusic D
8 Tiago Pinto D
70 S. Kitsiou D
20 A. Karabulut M
3 S. Ağçay M
10 H. Canteros M
21 W. Moke M
23 İ. Parlak M
12 D. Orgill F
Bench (10)
4 M. Sak
14 R. Faty
19 C. Karayel
45 A. Önal
5 A. Kubalas
99 F. Bekleviç
28 H. Kaya
7 E. Scarione
11 M. Akan
95 Z. Sadaev

Coach: M. Diyadin

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-2-3-1
30 F. Farnolle G
91 S. Aytaç D
15 M. Akbaş D
29 I. Chebake D
20 M. Donald M
66 Guilherme M
19 A. Acquah M
6 R. Yalçın D
25 G. Chalali M
18 A. Jahović F
10 T. Bifouma M
Bench (9)
8 M. Yıldırım
77 R. Çağıran
76 Ö. Özdemir
3 E. Kaş
14 A. Ildız
11 E. Tozlu
35 U. Ceylan
44 A. Mina
16 T. Hadebe

Coach: S. Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,72
🔒
U
3,16
🔒
B ✓
2,61
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,13
🔒
U2,5
1,70
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Bayarslan · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.