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Premiership

Referee: E Anderson

St Mirren

U T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 37%

37%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

49%

43%

Both score Ø 47%

40%

54%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

10 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Mirren 5. · Kilmarnock 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	36	27	6	3	+59	87
2	Rangers	36	26	3	7	+52	81
3	Hearts	35	19	6	10	+9	63
4	Kilmarnock	35	13	13	9	+6	52
5	St Mirren	35	13	7	15	-4	46
6	Hibernian	35	10	12	13	-6	42
7	Aberdeen	35	10	11	14	-12	41
8	Dundee	35	10	11	14	-13	41
9	Motherwell	35	9	13	13	-3	40
10	Ross County	35	8	9	18	-25	33
11	ST Johnstone	36	7	10	19	-26	31
12	Livingston	36	5	9	22	-37	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	18	14	3	1	+34	45
2	Rangers	18	14	1	3	+30	43
3	Kilmarnock	18	10	5	3	+12	35
4	Hearts	17	9	5	3	+10	32
5	St Mirren	17	8	3	6	+4	27
6	Aberdeen	18	6	7	5	-1	25
7	Ross County	17	7	4	6	-1	25
8	Dundee	18	6	5	7	-4	23
9	Hibernian	17	6	4	7	+0	22
10	Motherwell	18	5	6	7	+2	21
11	ST Johnstone	18	4	6	8	-11	18
12	Livingston	18	4	6	8	-11	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	18	13	3	2	+25	42
2	Rangers	18	12	2	4	+22	38
3	Hearts	18	10	1	7	-1	31
4	Hibernian	18	4	8	6	-6	20
5	Motherwell	17	4	7	6	-5	19
6	St Mirren	18	5	4	9	-8	19
7	Dundee	17	4	6	7	-9	18
8	Kilmarnock	17	3	8	6	-6	17
9	Aberdeen	17	4	4	9	-11	16
10	ST Johnstone	18	3	4	11	-15	13
11	Ross County	18	1	5	12	-24	8
12	Livingston	18	1	3	14	-26	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.