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2. Bundesliga
Referee: N Winter
FC Koln
S T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Regensburg
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Regensburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 36%
52%
19%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
52%
45%
Both score Ø 39%
52%
26%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,6
Conceded
1,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
22 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 2. · Regensburg 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 32 15 11 6 +30 56
2 FC Koln 31 16 6 9 +10 54
3 Paderborn 32 14 10 8 +12 52
4 Magdeburg 32 13 11 8 +11 50
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 13 11 8 +5 50
6 Elversberg 31 13 10 8 +21 49
7 Hannover 32 13 10 9 +5 49
8 Kaiserslautern 31 14 7 10 +4 49
9 Karlsruhe 31 13 8 10 -1 47
10 Nurnberg 31 13 6 12 +3 45
11 Hertha 31 11 7 13 -1 40
12 Darmstadt 32 10 9 13 +0 39
13 Schalke 04 32 10 8 14 -7 38
14 Greuther Furth 31 9 8 14 -14 35
15 Braunschweig 32 8 11 13 -20 35
16 Preußen Münster 32 7 11 14 -5 32
17 Ulm 32 6 11 15 -7 29
18 Regensburg 31 6 5 20 -46 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Regensburg
38′
ℹ️ Christian Kühlwetter
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 0–0
D. Huseinbašić 🔁
↦ D. Ljubičić
46′
1–0 T. Lemperle
L. Waldschmidt
59′
L. Maina 🔁
↦ F. Kainz
61′
I. Rondić 🔁
↦ D. Downs
61′
64′
🟨 Florian Ballas
68′
🔁 A. Suhonen
↦ S. Ernst
68′
🔁 C. Viet
↦ F. Ananou
75′
N. Ganaus 1–1
M. Uth 🔁
↦ L. Waldschmidt
78′
78′
🔁 D. Galjen
↦ E. Hottmann
92′
🔁 J. Bauer
↦ N. Ganaus
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-3-1-2
1 M. Schwäbe G
29 J. Thielmann D
4 T. Hübers D
3 D. Heintz D
35 M. Finkgräfe D
7 D. Ljubičić M
6 E. Martel M
11 F. Kainz M
9 L. Waldschmidt M
19 T. Lemperle F
42 D. Downs F
Bench (9)
8 D. Huseinbašić
37 L. Maina
27 I. Rondić
13 M. Uth
20 P. Pentke
24 J. Pauli
47 M. Olesen
2 J. Schmied
21 S. Tigges

Coach: G. Struber

Regensburg

3-5-2
23 J. Pollersbeck G
37 L. Wurm D
4 F. Ballas D
14 R. Ziegele D
27 F. Ananou M
15 S. Ernst M
30 C. Kühlwetter M
3 B. Hein M
2 T. Handwerker M
20 N. Ganaus F
9 E. Hottmann F
Bench (8)
34 A. Suhonen
10 C. Viet
39 D. Galjen
25 J. Bauer
8 A. Geipl
36 B. Kieffer
29 E. Huth
1 F. Gebhardt

Coach: A. Patz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,28
U ✓
5,69
B
9,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Winter · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.