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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Motherwell
S U T T U
3–2
Full-time
ST Johnstone
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
24%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
70%
61%
Both score Ø 58%
61%
55%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 8. · ST Johnstone 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 34 27 3 4 +80 84
2 Rangers 33 20 6 7 +33 66
3 Hibernian 33 14 11 8 +13 53
4 Aberdeen 33 14 8 11 -4 50
5 Dundee United 34 14 8 12 -4 50
6 St Mirren 33 12 5 16 -9 41
7 Hearts 33 11 7 15 -1 40
8 Motherwell 33 11 6 16 -19 39
9 Kilmarnock 33 9 8 16 -20 35
10 Ross County 33 9 8 16 -23 35
11 Dundee 33 9 7 17 -21 34
12 ST Johnstone 33 8 5 20 -25 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jan -25 ST Johnstone – Motherwell 2–1 9. Nov -24 Motherwell – ST Johnstone 2–1 31. Aug -24 ST Johnstone – Motherwell 1–2 19. May -24 Motherwell – ST Johnstone 1–2 27. Jan -24 ST Johnstone – Motherwell 1–1

Match report

Motherwell ST Johnstone
6′
⚽ M. Kirk 0–1
J. McPake
1–1 C. Slattery ⚽
T. Watt
39′
1–2 S. Sprangler ⚽
own goal
40′
Half-time 2–2
2–2 T. Sparrow ⚽
D. Thompson
48′
58′
🔁 E. Watt
↦ S. Duke-McKenna
58′
🔁 U. Ikpeazu
↦ A. Sidibeh
Callum Slattery 🟨
65′
Stephen O'Donnell 🟨
66′
66′
⚽ E. Watt 2–3
J. McPake
Andy Halliday 🟨
68′
L. Armstrong 🔁
↦ H. Paton
70′
M. Ebiye 🔁
↦ T. Watt
81′
D. Zdravkovski 🔁
↦ A. Halliday
81′
84′
🟨 Uche Ikpeazu
84′
🔁 B. Kimpioka
↦ J. Holt
Tom Sparrow 🟨
89′
K. Andrews 🔁
↦ C. Slattery
91′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-4-1-1
88 E. Balcombe G
22 J. Koutroumbis D
2 S. O'Donnell D
15 D. Casey D
56 D. Thompson D
7 T. Sparrow M
11 A. Halliday M
38 L. Miller M
12 H. Paton M
8 C. Slattery F
52 T. Watt F
Bench (9)
59 L. Armstrong
24 M. Ebiye
6 D. Zdravkovski
54 K. Andrews
3 S. Seddon
58 W. Dickson
13 A. Oxborough
90 Jair Tavares
23 E. Wilson

Coach: M. Wimmer

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 A. Fisher G
37 S. Curtis D
4 D. Balodis D
23 S. Sprangler D
21 S. Duke-McKenna M
7 J. Holt M
11 G. Carey M
19 T. Steven M
27 M. Kirk F
24 J. McPake F
16 A. Sidibeh F
Bench (9)
44 E. Watt
9 U. Ikpeazu
29 B. Kimpioka
30 B. Douglas
8 J. Svedberg
46 F. Franczak
20 R. Sinclair
10 N. Clark
6 V. Griffith

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
🔒
U
3,16
🔒
B
3,14
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,25
🔒
U2,5
1,62
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.