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Allsvenskan

Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson

Degerfors

S T T S T

1–1

Full-time

Sirius

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,51 xG 1,05

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Degerfors 8. · Sirius 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	6	5	1	0	+6	+0.3	16
2	Mjallby	6	4	2	0	+10	+0.2	14
3	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+8	+3.3	13
4	Malmo FF	6	3	2	1	+2	+3.2	11
5	Elfsborg	6	3	1	2	+1	+2.7	10
6	Goteborg	6	3	1	2	-2	+1.2	10
7	Norrkoping	6	3	0	3	+2	+0.5	9
8	Degerfors	6	3	0	3	+1	+0.3	9
9	GAIS	6	1	4	1	+1	-2.0	7
10	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.2	7
11	Djurgarden	5	2	1	2	-1	+1.6	7
12	Hacken	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.1	7
13	Sirius	6	1	2	3	-4	-2.8	5
14	Halmstad	6	1	1	4	-10	-6.2	4
15	Oster	6	1	0	5	-4	-1.9	3
16	Varnamo	6	0	0	6	-7	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+8	+2.8	9
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.9	7
3	Elfsborg	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.2	7
4	AIK	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.5	7
5	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+3	+4.2	7
6	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.3	6
7	GAIS	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.2	4
8	Goteborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.2	4
9	Djurgarden	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.6	4
10	Hacken	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.3	4
11	Oster	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
12	Degerfors	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
13	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.2	3
14	Halmstad	3	1	0	2	-6	-3.0	3
15	Sirius	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.3	1
16	Varnamo	4	0	0	4	-5	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.2	9
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	-1.7	7
3	Degerfors	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.5	6
4	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	-2	-2.1	6
5	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+1	–	4
6	Sirius	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.5	4
7	Hammarby	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
8	Malmo FF	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.0	4
9	GAIS	3	0	3	0	+0	-2.2	3
10	Norrkoping	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.9	3
11	Hacken	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.4	3
12	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
13	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
14	Halmstad	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
15	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.7	0
16	Oster	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.