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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Dundee
T T U S S
2–3
Full-time
Motherwell
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
23%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
63%
52%
Both score Ø 61%
57%
65%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 11
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 6. · Motherwell 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 31 23 5 3 +51 74
2 Rangers 30 24 1 5 +50 73
3 Hearts 31 17 5 9 +9 56
4 Kilmarnock 31 11 12 8 +6 45
5 St Mirren 31 12 7 12 -1 43
6 Dundee 30 10 9 11 -9 39
7 Hibernian 31 9 11 11 -6 38
8 Motherwell 31 7 12 12 -6 33
9 Aberdeen 31 8 9 14 -14 33
10 ST Johnstone 31 6 10 15 -21 28
11 Ross County 31 6 9 16 -24 27
12 Livingston 31 3 8 20 -35 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee Motherwell
1–0 J. McGhee
A. Bakayoko
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. O'Donnell
↦ A. Devine
M. Mellon 🔁
↦ S. Tiffoney
68′
2–0 L. McCowan
70′
Amadou Bakayoko 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 L. Miller
↦ D. Zdravkovski
74′
🔁 E. Moses
↦ A. Halliday
77′
ℹ️ Jack Vale
VAR: Penalty confirmed
79′
G. Gent 2–1
80′
ℹ️ Georgie Gent
VAR: Goal confirmed
81′
T. Bair 2–2
L. Miller
Michael Mellon 🟨
82′
93′
E. Moses 2–3
J. Vale
Z. Robinson 🔁
↦ L. Cameron
95′
95′
🔁 C. Butcher
↦ J. Vale
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Dundee

3-5-2
22 J. McCracken G
29 A. Portales D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
25 A. Donnelly D
6 J. McGhee M
10 L. Cameron M
28 M. Sylla M
17 L. McCowan M
44 D. Costelloe M
7 S. Tiffoney F
9 A. Bakayoko F
Bench (9)
26 M. Mellon
16 Z. Robinson
30 H. Sharp
49 E. Mutale
3 O. Dodgson
19 F. Robertson
1 A. Legzdiņš
23 M. Boateng
4 R. Astley

Coach: T. Docherty

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
15 D. Casey D
16 P. McGinn D
20 S. Blaney D
21 A. Devine M
11 A. Halliday M
17 D. Zdravkovski M
3 G. Gent M
7 B. Spittal F
28 J. Vale F
14 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
2 S. O'Donnell
38 L. Miller
24 E. Moses
66 C. Butcher
39 L. Ross
19 S. Nicholson
18 O. Shaw
13 A. Oxborough
5 B. Mugabi

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,32
U
3,42
B ✓
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.