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Premiership

Referee: R Hardie

St Mirren

U S T S U

1–0

Full-time

Aberdeen

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,7

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 40%

35%

44%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

71%

59%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%

10 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 11

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Aberdeen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	34	27	3	4	+80	84
2	Rangers	34	20	7	7	+33	67
3	Hibernian	34	14	11	9	+12	53
4	Aberdeen	34	15	8	11	-3	53
5	Dundee United	34	14	8	12	-4	50
6	St Mirren	34	12	6	16	-9	42
7	Motherwell	34	12	6	16	-18	42
8	Hearts	34	11	7	16	-2	40
9	Kilmarnock	34	10	8	16	-18	38
10	Dundee	34	10	7	17	-20	37
11	Ross County	34	9	8	17	-25	35
12	ST Johnstone	34	8	5	21	-26	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	17	15	1	1	+51	46
2	Rangers	16	12	1	3	+26	37
3	Aberdeen	18	10	4	4	+9	34
4	Hibernian	17	9	5	3	+14	32
5	Kilmarnock	17	8	5	4	+7	29
6	Motherwell	17	7	5	5	-3	26
7	St Mirren	18	7	4	7	+2	25
8	Hearts	17	7	3	7	+3	24
9	Dundee United	17	7	3	7	-3	24
10	Ross County	17	5	5	7	-4	20
11	Dundee	17	5	4	8	-4	19
12	ST Johnstone	16	5	2	9	-8	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	17	12	2	3	+29	38
2	Rangers	18	8	6	4	+7	30
3	Dundee United	17	7	5	5	-1	26
4	Hibernian	17	5	6	6	-2	21
5	Aberdeen	16	5	4	7	-12	19
6	Dundee	17	5	3	9	-16	18
7	St Mirren	16	5	2	9	-11	17
8	Hearts	17	4	4	9	-5	16
9	Motherwell	17	5	1	11	-15	16
10	Ross County	17	4	3	10	-21	15
11	ST Johnstone	18	3	3	12	-18	12
12	Kilmarnock	17	2	3	12	-25	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.