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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Dundee
T S T S U
4–1
Full-time
Motherwell
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 38%
29%
46%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
71%
85%
Both score Ø 74%
79%
69%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
9 Shots 24
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 10
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 7. · Motherwell 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 13 12 1 0 +36 37
2 Aberdeen 14 10 3 1 +13 33
3 Rangers 13 8 2 3 +9 26
4 Dundee United 14 6 5 3 +7 23
5 Motherwell 13 6 1 6 -3 19
6 St Mirren 15 5 3 7 -6 18
7 Dundee 14 4 4 6 -3 16
8 Ross County 15 3 6 6 -15 15
9 ST Johnstone 15 4 1 10 -11 13
10 Kilmarnock 14 3 4 7 -11 13
11 Hibernian 15 2 6 7 -7 12
12 Hearts 15 2 4 9 -9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee Motherwell
1–0 O. Adewumi
S. Tiffoney
14′
19′
A. Stamatelopoulos 1–1
Billy Koumetio 🟨
29′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 S. Tiffoney
A. Portales
60′
61′
🟨 Steve Seddon
3–1 L. Cameron
S. Murray
63′
4–1 L. Cameron
S. Murray
67′
68′
🔁 M. Ebiye
↦ A. Stamatelopoulos
68′
🔁 M. Kaleta
↦ Jair Tavares
68′
🔁 A. Halliday
↦ H. Paton
F. Robertson 🔁
↦ S. Tiffoney
69′
S. Palmer-Houlden 🔁
↦ S. Murray
69′
75′
🔁 T. Maswanhise
↦ T. Watt
78′
🟨 Lennon Miller
Jordan McGhee 🟨
79′
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ B. Koumetio
85′
J. Vetro 🔁
↦ O. Adewumi
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Dundee

3-4-2-1
1 J. McCracken G
4 R. Astley D
29 A. Portales D
20 B. Koumetio D
8 J. Mulligan M
6 J. McGhee M
28 M. Sylla M
7 S. Tiffoney M
10 L. Cameron F
11 O. Adewumi F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (9)
19 F. Robertson
23 S. Palmer-Houlden
16 S. Kelly
47 J. Vetro
31 T. Carson
22 S. Braybrooke
2 E. Ingram
30 H. Sharp
9 C. Main

Coach: T. Docherty

Motherwell

3-5-2
13 A. Oxborough G
5 K. Balmer D
4 L. Gordon D
15 D. Casey D
90 Jair Tavares M
12 H. Paton M
38 L. Miller M
23 E. Wilson M
3 S. Seddon M
52 T. Watt F
14 A. Stamatelopoulos F
Bench (9)
24 M. Ebiye
21 M. Kaleta
11 A. Halliday
55 T. Maswanhise
20 S. Blaney
1 K. Hegyi
22 J. Koutroumbis
19 S. Nicholson
6 D. Zdravkovski

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
U
3,54
B
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.