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Pro League

Referee: B Van Driessche

St. Gilloise

S S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Genk

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 64%

62%

65%

Points per game

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

54%

65%

Both score Ø 54%

46%

62%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,66 xG 0,77

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 3

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 16

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St. Gilloise 2. · Genk 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	27	18	6	3	+37	+36.3	60
2	St. Gilloise	26	16	7	3	+29	+25.1	55
3	Genk	26	17	4	5	+20	+18.3	55
4	Anderlecht	27	15	6	6	+28	+8.6	51
5	Antwerp	26	11	10	5	+14	-2.5	43
6	Charleroi	25	9	8	8	+5	+5.3	35
7	Gent	27	9	8	10	-6	-12.6	35
8	Dender	27	8	9	10	-11	-13.8	33
9	Cercle Brugge	29	8	9	12	-17	-1.8	33
10	Westerlo	27	8	8	11	+0	+1.6	32
11	Standard	26	7	9	10	-14	-10.4	30
12	Mechelen	27	7	8	12	-5	+2.6	29
13	Kortrijk	29	8	3	18	-23	-15.3	27
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	27	4	14	9	-7	-6.7	26
15	St Truiden	28	6	7	15	-24	-9.3	25
16	Beerschot VA	28	3	8	17	-26	-25.3	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	10	2	2	+23	+22.8	32
2	St. Gilloise	13	10	1	2	+19	+18.6	31
3	Genk	13	10	1	2	+17	+15.2	31
4	Anderlecht	13	7	4	2	+18	+6.0	25
5	Charleroi	13	7	3	3	+10	+6.5	24
6	Cercle Brugge	15	6	5	4	-2	+5.2	23
7	Antwerp	13	6	3	4	+12	+4.0	21
8	Westerlo	14	5	5	4	+8	+12.0	20
9	Gent	13	6	2	5	+5	-3.1	20
10	Standard	13	5	4	4	+0	-2.8	19
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	3	9	2	+3	+1.2	18
12	St Truiden	14	4	6	4	-3	+0.8	18
13	Mechelen	13	4	5	4	+6	+6.1	17
14	Dender	13	4	5	4	+1	-3.6	17
15	Kortrijk	14	5	1	8	-6	-2.1	16
16	Beerschot VA	14	3	6	5	-4	-10.0	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	8	4	1	+14	+13.5	28
2	Anderlecht	14	8	2	4	+10	+2.6	26
3	St. Gilloise	13	6	6	1	+10	+6.5	24
4	Genk	13	7	3	3	+3	+3.1	24
5	Antwerp	13	5	7	1	+2	-6.6	22
6	Dender	14	4	4	6	-12	-10.2	16
7	Gent	14	3	6	5	-11	-9.5	15
8	Westerlo	13	3	3	7	-8	-10.4	12
9	Mechelen	14	3	3	8	-11	-3.4	12
10	Charleroi	12	2	5	5	-5	-1.2	11
11	Standard	13	2	5	6	-14	-7.6	11
12	Kortrijk	15	3	2	10	-17	-13.2	11
13	Cercle Brugge	14	2	4	8	-15	-7.0	10
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	1	5	7	-10	-7.9	8
15	St Truiden	14	2	1	11	-21	-10.1	7
16	Beerschot VA	14	0	2	12	-22	-15.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.