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Premiership

Referee: C Scott

Motherwell

T S U T T

1–3

Full-time

Celtic

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 24/23 matches

Win Ø 61%

38%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

71%

70%

Both score Ø 43%

63%

22%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,8

Conceded

1,6

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

19% Possession 81%

2 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 9

0 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 10

1 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 6. · Celtic 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	23	19	3	1	+53	60
2	Rangers	24	15	5	4	+28	50
3	Dundee United	25	10	7	8	+4	37
4	Aberdeen	25	10	5	10	-6	35
5	Hibernian	25	8	9	8	+0	33
6	Motherwell	24	9	4	11	-10	31
7	Hearts	25	8	6	11	+1	30
8	St Mirren	25	9	3	13	-9	30
9	Kilmarnock	25	7	7	11	-12	28
10	Dundee	24	7	6	11	-10	27
11	Ross County	24	6	8	10	-19	26
12	ST Johnstone	25	6	3	16	-20	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	12	11	1	0	+27	34
2	Celtic	11	10	1	0	+32	31
3	Aberdeen	13	7	2	4	+4	23
4	Hibernian	13	5	5	3	+5	20
5	Kilmarnock	12	5	4	3	+3	19
6	Dundee United	12	5	3	4	+4	18
7	Hearts	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Motherwell	11	5	3	3	+0	18
9	St Mirren	13	5	2	6	+0	17
10	Dundee	13	4	3	6	-4	15
11	Ross County	13	3	5	5	-5	14
12	ST Johnstone	12	3	1	8	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	12	9	2	1	+21	29
2	Dundee United	13	5	4	4	+0	19
3	Rangers	12	4	4	4	+1	16
4	Hibernian	12	3	4	5	-5	13
5	St Mirren	12	4	1	7	-9	13
6	Motherwell	13	4	1	8	-10	13
7	Hearts	13	3	3	7	-2	12
8	Dundee	11	3	3	5	-6	12
9	Aberdeen	12	3	3	6	-10	12
10	Ross County	11	3	3	5	-14	12
11	ST Johnstone	13	3	2	8	-11	11
12	Kilmarnock	13	2	3	8	-15	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.