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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
ST Johnstone
T T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Motherwell
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
17%
39%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
70%
70%
Both score Ø 61%
61%
61%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 12. · Motherwell 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 23 19 3 1 +53 60
2 Rangers 23 14 5 4 +26 47
3 Dundee United 23 10 7 6 +7 37
4 Aberdeen 23 10 5 8 -1 35
5 Motherwell 23 9 4 10 -9 31
6 Hibernian 23 7 8 8 -2 29
7 Dundee 23 7 6 10 -4 27
8 St Mirren 23 8 3 12 -11 27
9 Kilmarnock 23 6 7 10 -12 25
10 Ross County 23 6 7 10 -19 25
11 Hearts 23 6 6 11 -6 24
12 ST Johnstone 23 4 3 16 -22 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Nov -24 Motherwell – ST Johnstone 2–1 31. Aug -24 ST Johnstone – Motherwell 1–2 19. May -24 Motherwell – ST Johnstone 1–2 27. Jan -24 ST Johnstone – Motherwell 1–1 9. Dec -23 Motherwell – ST Johnstone 1–1

Match report

ST Johnstone Motherwell
2′
ℹ️ Harrison Paton
VAR: Penalty confirmed
4′
⚽ A. Halliday 0–1
Maksym Kucheriavyi 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–1
A. Sidibeh 🔁
↦ M. Kucheriavyi
46′
47′
🟨 Tom Sparrow
60′
🔁 D. Thompson
↦ T. Sparrow
61′
🟨 Dominic Thompson
N. Clark 🔁
↦ J. Holt
65′
67′
🔁 D. Zdravkovski
↦ A. Halliday
67′
🔁 L. Armstrong
↦ S. Nicholson
70′
🟨 Harrison Paton
78′
🔁 K. Andrews
↦ H. Paton
78′
🔁 J. Koutroumbis
↦ M. Kaleta
T. Steven 🔁
↦ B. Douglas
80′
1–1 T. Steven ⚽
N. Clark
86′
2–1 B. Mikulić ⚽
A. Sidibeh
88′
91′
🟨 Luke Armstrong
F. Franczak 🔁
↦ M. Kirk
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 A. Fisher G
14 D. Wright D
23 S. Sprangler D
2 B. Mikulić D
37 S. Curtis M
17 M. Kucheriavyi M
7 J. Holt M
30 B. Douglas M
11 G. Carey F
6 V. Griffith F
27 M. Kirk F
Bench (9)
16 A. Sidibeh
10 N. Clark
19 T. Steven
46 F. Franczak
3 A. Raymond
29 B. Kimpioka
15 A. Essel
22 M. Smith
20 R. Sinclair

Coach: S. Valakari

Motherwell

3-4-2-1
88 E. Balcombe G
2 S. O'Donnell D
4 L. Gordon D
20 S. Blaney D
7 T. Sparrow M
11 A. Halliday M
12 H. Paton M
21 M. Kaleta M
55 T. Maswanhise F
19 S. Nicholson F
52 T. Watt F
Bench (9)
56 D. Thompson
6 D. Zdravkovski
59 L. Armstrong
54 K. Andrews
22 J. Koutroumbis
23 E. Wilson
5 K. Balmer
15 D. Casey
31 M. Connelly

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,55
🔒
U
3,26
🔒
B
2,74
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,00
🔒
U2,5
1,78
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.