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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Kilmarnock
U U T T U
0–3
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

41% Possession 59%
14 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · ST Johnstone 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Dundee 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Rangers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 St Mirren 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Aberdeen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Dundee United 2 0 2 0 +0 2
7 Ross County 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 Motherwell 2 0 1 1 -1 1
9 Hearts 2 0 1 1 -2 1
10 ST Johnstone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Kilmarnock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
12 Hibernian 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Apr -24 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 0–2 23. Dec -23 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 2–1 1. Nov -23 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 2–1 20. May -23 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 0–1 18. Mar -23 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 1–1

Match report

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
Joe Wright 🟨
2′
3′
⚽ A. Sidibeh 0–1
A. Essel
Joe Wright 🟨
16′
Joe Wright 🟥
16′
L. Mayo 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
20′
29′
🟨 Matthew Smith
33′
⚽ A. Sidibeh 0–2
A. Raymond
Half-time 0–2
M. Kennedy 🔁
↦ K. Vassell
46′
Robbie Deas 🟨
47′
55′
🟨 Cameron MacPherson
M. Watkins 🔁
↦ I. Cameron
68′
69′
🟨 Lewis Neilson
Danny Armstrong 🟨
75′
78′
🔁 G. Carey
↦ A. Raymond
81′
⚽ B. Kimpioka 0–3
82′
🟨 Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
B. Wales 🔁
↦ F. Murray
82′
G. Mackay-Steven 🔁
↦ D. Armstrong
82′
Matthew Kennedy 🟨
83′
85′
🔁 N. Clark
↦ C. MacPherson
85′
🔁 M. Kirk
↦ A. Sidibeh
92′
🔁 J. McPake
↦ M. Smith
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-4-1-2
20 R. McCrorie G
4 J. Wright D
17 S. Findlay D
6 R. Deas D
11 D. Armstrong M
12 D. Watson M
8 B. Lyons M
7 R. McKenzie M
15 F. Murray F
18 I. Cameron F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
5 L. Mayo
10 M. Kennedy
23 M. Watkins
24 B. Wales
14 G. Mackay-Steven
51 O. Bainbridge
19 B. Anderson
31 L. Polworth
1 K. O'Hara

Coach: D. McInnes

ST Johnstone

3-5-2
12 J. Rae G
6 L. Neilson D
5 J. Sanders D
4 K. Cameron D
14 D. Wright M
8 C. MacPherson M
15 A. Essel M
22 M. Smith M
3 A. Raymond M
16 A. Sidibeh F
29 B. Kimpioka F
Bench (9)
11 G. Carey
10 N. Clark
27 M. Kirk
24 J. McPake
21 C. Smith
23 S. Sprangler
20 R. Sinclair
42 O. Olufunwa
46 F. Franczak

Coach: C. Levein

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,78
🔒
U
3,59
🔒
B ✓
4,51
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,08
🔒
U2,5
1,74
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.