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Premiership
Referee: L Wilson
ST Johnstone
U T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Hibernian
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
5 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 9
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 12. · Hibernian 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 16 2 0 +48 50
2 Rangers 18 11 3 4 +18 36
3 Aberdeen 19 10 4 5 +5 34
4 Dundee United 19 8 7 4 +8 31
5 St Mirren 20 8 3 9 -5 27
6 Motherwell 19 8 3 8 -8 27
7 Hibernian 20 6 6 8 -4 24
8 Dundee 19 6 4 9 -5 22
9 Kilmarnock 20 5 6 9 -13 21
10 Ross County 20 4 7 9 -18 19
11 Hearts 20 4 5 11 -8 17
12 ST Johnstone 20 4 2 14 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Sep -24 Hibernian – ST Johnstone 2–0 27. Apr -24 ST Johnstone – Hibernian 1–3 6. Apr -24 Hibernian – ST Johnstone 1–2 16. Dec -23 ST Johnstone – Hibernian 1–0 23. Sep -23 Hibernian – ST Johnstone 2–0

Match report

ST Johnstone Hibernian
19′
🟨 Jack Iredale
39′
🟨 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
Jason Holt ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
40′
Jason Holt 🟥
41′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 N. Clark ⚽
49′
55′
🟨 Nectarios Triantis
60′
🔁 D. Gayle
↦ J. Iredale
60′
🔁 J. Obita
↦ L. Miller
60′
🔁 D. Levitt
↦ Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
D. Keltjens 🔁
↦ F. Franczak
67′
M. Smith 🔁
↦ A. Sidibeh
68′
71′
🔁 H. McKirdy
↦ J. Hoilett
79′
⚽ D. Gayle 1–1
N. Triantis
86′
🔁 R. Molotnikov
↦ J. Campbell
Nicky Clark 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-3-2-1
12 J. Rae G
14 D. Wright D
5 J. Sanders D
2 B. Mikulić D
3 A. Raymond D
46 F. Franczak
23 S. Sprangler M
7 J. Holt M
10 N. Clark M
29 B. Kimpioka M
16 A. Sidibeh F
Bench (9)
33 D. Keltjens
22 M. Smith
31 C. Hepburn
49 B. Dair
11 G. Carey
15 A. Essel
52 A. Brookfield
17 M. Kucheriavyi
24 J. McPake

Coach: S. Valakari

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
13 J. Smith G
2 L. Miller D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
12 C. Cadden M
26 N. Triantis M
18 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu M
19 N. Cadden M
32 J. Campbell F
10 M. Boyle F
23 J. Hoilett F
Bench (9)
34 D. Gayle
21 J. Obita
6 D. Levitt
17 H. McKirdy
35 R. Molotnikov
14 L. Amos
1 J. Bursik
5 W. O'Hora
22 N. Moriah-Welsh

Coach: D. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,50
🔒
U ✓
3,46
🔒
B
2,02
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,86
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,89
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Wilson · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.