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Copa del Rey

Referee: Víctor García

Barbastro

1–0

Full-time

Almeria

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barbastro Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,0

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Barbastro 40. · Almeria 24. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+13	6
2	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Castellon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Betis	1	1	0	0	+11	3
7	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+10	3
8	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Buñol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Elche	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Andratx	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Mirandes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Villanovense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Arandina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Tudelano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Terrassa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Boiro	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-4	3
55	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
56	Deportivo Murcia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
57	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
58	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
59	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
72	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
73	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
119	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Andratx	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Villanovense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Arandina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Tudelano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Terrassa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
16	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
17	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Buñol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Boiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
60	Chiclana	1	0	0	1	-5	0
61	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0
62	Deportivo Murcia	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+13	6
2	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Betis	1	1	0	0	+11	3
5	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+10	3
6	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Elche	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Mirandes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barbastro Almeria

1–0 Franc Carbonell ⚽

Mingotes

28′

Half-time 1–0

46′

🔁 Álex Pozo

↦ Houboulang Mendes

46′

🔁 Léo Baptistão

↦ Marciano Sanca

46′

🔁 Sergio Arribas

↦ R. Fettal

56′

🔁 L. Robertone

↦ Kaiky

Kike 🟨

61′

S. Sidibe 🔁

↦ Kike Rausell

62′

Crespo 🔁

↦ Hugo Bautista

62′

Marc Prat 🔁

↦ Adrià de Mesa

62′

O. Gonpi 🟨

69′

70′

🔁 L. Ramazani

↦ Arnau Puigmal

I. Garcia 🟨

74′

76′

🟨 E. Gonzalez

J. Val 🟨

85′

Fernando Arnedillo 🔁

↦ Israel García

87′

A. Crespo 🟨

89′

M. Prat 🟨

90′

Jaime Requés 🔁

↦ Gonpi

91′

94′

🟨 L. Ramazani

Jaime 🟨

94′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Barbastro

13 Arnau Fàbrega

21 Mingotes

7 José Val

4 Franc Carbonell

19 Hugo Bautista

8 Kike Rausell

18 Javito

3 Jaime

5 Israel García

9 Adrià de Mesa

20 Gonpi

Bench (10)

15 S. Sidibe

10 Crespo

11 Marc Prat

6 Fernando Arnedillo

12 Jaime Requés

1 Iván Biarge

14 Carlos Gascó

2 Oscar Pérez

17 Íker Balda

25 Hugo Tortajada

Coach: Daniel Martínez

Almeria

Diego Mariño

Chumi

Houboulang Mendes

20 Álex Centelles

2 Kaiky

4 I. Baba

Arnau Puigmal

6 D. Lopy

14 Lázaro

28 R. Fettal

34 Marciano Sanca

Bench (10)

17 Álex Pozo

12 Léo Baptistão

19 Sergio Arribas

5 L. Robertone

7 L. Ramazani

15 Sergio Akieme

13 Fernando Martínez

26 Marcos Peña

25 Luís Maximiano

3 Edgar González

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

1. Nov CDR 2 years ago

Referee

Víctor García · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,6 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

26,7 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Barbastro

Almeria

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee