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Copa del Rey
Referee: Luis Milla
La Coruna
T T S T S
2–3
Full-time
Tenerife
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Tenerife
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Corners 7
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 19. · Tenerife 39.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +13 6
2 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Espanol 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Castellon 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Betis 1 1 0 0 +11 3
7 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +10 3
8 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
9 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +2 3
18 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Antequera 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Andratx 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Villanovense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Oviedo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Atzeneta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
54 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
55 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
56 Deportivo Murcia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
57 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
58 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
59 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Zamora 2 0 1 1 -1 1
72 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
73 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Arosa 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Tenerife
1–0 David Mella
10′
34′
🟨 S. Gonzalez
P. Valcarce 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Elady
60′
Nacho Martínez 1–1
Jesús Belza
61′
🔁 Alassán
↦ Elady
61′
🔁 Aitor Buñuel
↦ Jesús Belza
Davo 🔁
↦ David Mella
63′
Diego Villares 🔁
↦ Hugo Rama
63′
J. Jurado 🟨
73′
Lucas Pérez 🔁
↦ Pablo Valcarce
73′
Peke 🔁
↦ Paris Adot
74′
78′
🔁 Pablo Hernández
↦ Ángel Rodríguez
78′
🔁 Loïc Williams
↦ Álex Corredera
Kevin Sánchez 🔁
↦ Berto Cayarga
87′
87′
🔁 Álvaro Romero
↦ Teto
Pablo Vázquez 🔁
↦ Jaime Sánchez
97′
101′
Álvaro Romero 1–2
Roberto López
2–2 Kevin Sánchez
Davo
106′
P. Martinez 🟨
107′
J. Jurado 🟨
109′
J. Jurado 🟥
109′
112′
🔁 Salifo Caropitche
↦ Y. Bodiger
115′
🟨 A. Romero Morillo
122′
Sergio González 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

La Coruna

3-4-3
1 Ian Mackay G
19 Jaime Sánchez D
5 Dani Barcia
4 P. Martínez D
22 Paris Adot D
17 Hugo Rama M
20 José Jurado M
35 Rubén López
14 Berto Cayarga M
21 Pablo Valcarce M
27 David Mella
Bench (11)
11 Davo
8 Diego Villares
7 Lucas Pérez
10 Peke
32 Kevin Sánchez
15 Pablo Vázquez
18 Balenziaga
36 Marc Lachèvre
29 Martín Ochoa
13 Germán Parreño
26 Jairo Noriega

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Tenerife

4-2-3-1
13 Tomeu Nadal G
32 Jesús Belza F
6 José Amo D
5 Sergio González D
24 Nacho Martínez D
10 Álex Corredera M
15 Y. Bodiger M
7 Elady M
14 Roberto López F
21 Teto M
9 Ángel Rodríguez F
Bench (11)
28 Alassán
2 Aitor Buñuel
20 Pablo Hernández
31 Loïc Williams
19 Álvaro Romero
35 Salifo Caropitche
23 N. Šipčić
37 Cacho
33 Marcos Otero
16 Aitor Sanz
1 Juan Soriano

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luis Milla · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.