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Copa del Rey
Referee: Jesús Gil
0–1
Full-time
Alaves
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Terrassa Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
0,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
10,0
Scored
1,0
10,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+10,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Terrassa 46. · Alaves 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +13 6
2 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Espanol 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Huesca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Castellon 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Tenerife 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Barbastro 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Alcorcon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Betis 1 1 0 0 +11 3
12 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +10 3
13 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 La Coruna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Andratx 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Almeria 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Villanovense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Oviedo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Antequera 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Atzeneta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
54 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
55 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
56 Deportivo Murcia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
57 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
58 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
59 Cartagena 2 0 2 0 +0 2
60 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Zamora 2 0 1 1 -1 1
72 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
73 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Arosa 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Terrassa Alaves
21′
Xeber Alkain 0–1
43′
🟨 X. Alkain
Half-time 0–1
Adri Lledó 🔁
↦ Jofre Cherta
46′
Dani Cervera 🔁
↦ Gil Muntadas
62′
Aythami Perera 🔁
↦ Pol Sánchez
63′
Pau Salvans 🔁
↦ Alex Fernández
63′
73′
🔁 I. Hagi
↦ Unai Ropero
73′
🔁 A. Rebbach
↦ Xeber Alkain
74′
🔁 Kike García
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
David Jiménez 🔁
↦ Víctor Morales
86′
93′
🟨 A. Sola
93′
🔁 Selu Diallo
↦ Álex Sola
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Terrassa

4-2-3-1
1 Marcos Pérez G
16 Jordi Palacios D
4 J. Erraji D
3 J. Neeskens D
5 Emilio Lucas D
14 Víctor Morales M
8 Alex Fernández M
20 Gil Muntadas M
15 Jofre Cherta M
7 Jordi Cano M
25 Pol Sánchez F
Bench (11)
10 Adri Lledó
6 Dani Cervera
9 Aythami Perera
17 Pau Salvans
11 David Jiménez
21 N. Spartalis
24 Arnau Cañizares
12 Carlos Badal
19 Joel Toledo
18 M. Babanzila
22 Joan Piera

Coach: Chus Trujillo

Alaves

4-2-3-1
31 Jesús Owono G
14 N. Tenaglia D
19 N. Maraš D
3 Rubén Duarte D
44 Víctor Parada D
6 Guevara M
23 C. Benavídez M
7 Álex Sola M
42 Unai Ropero M
17 Xeber Alkain M
9 Jon Karrikaburu F
Bench (11)
10 I. Hagi
21 A. Rebbach
15 Kike García
35 Selu Diallo
1 Sivera
11 Luis Rioja
2 Andoni Gorosabel
27 Javi López
16 Rafa Marín
32 Samu Omorodion
8 Antonio Blanco

Coach: Luis García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.