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Copa del Rey

Referee: José López

Arenteiro

S T S

1–3

Full-time

Burgos

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arenteiro Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Arenteiro 43. · Burgos 31. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+13	6
2	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Castellon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Alcorcon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Betis	1	1	0	0	+11	3
12	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+10	3
13	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Buñol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Elche	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Andratx	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Mirandes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Villanovense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Arandina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Tudelano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Terrassa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Antequera	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Boiro	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-4	3
55	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
56	Deportivo Murcia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
57	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
58	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
59	Cartagena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
60	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
72	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
73	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
119	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Andratx	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Villanovense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Arandina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Tudelano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Terrassa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
16	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
17	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Buñol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Antequera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Boiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
63	Chiclana	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0
65	Deportivo Murcia	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+13	6
2	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Betis	1	1	0	0	+11	3
8	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+10	3
9	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Elche	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Mirandes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Cartagena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
46	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.