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Copa del Rey
Referee: Juan Martínez
1–2
Full-time
Las Palmas
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tudelano Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

21% Possession 79%
13 Shots 28
5 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
9 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tudelano 41. · Las Palmas 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +13 6
2 Betis 2 2 0 0 +12 6
3 Alaves 2 2 0 0 +11 6
4 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +8 6
5 Mallorca 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Espanol 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Burgos 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Lugo 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Huesca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Castellon 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Tenerife 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +2 6
16 Barbastro 2 2 0 0 +2 6
17 Malaga 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 Alcorcon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Levante 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 La Coruna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Almeria 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Amorebieta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Eldense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Oviedo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Antequera 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Andratx 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Villanovense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Atzeneta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Terrassa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Arenteiro 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Valle Egüés 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
57 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
58 Deportivo Murcia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
59 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
60 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
61 Cartagena 2 0 2 0 +0 2
62 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Zamora 2 0 1 1 -1 1
73 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
74 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
102 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
115 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
121 Arosa 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tudelano Las Palmas
38′
S. Kaba 0–1
Marc Cardona
1–1 Joel Rodríguez
42′
Half-time 1–1
Colau 🟨
47′
66′
🔁 E. Loiodice
↦ M. Perrone
67′
🔁 Marvin Park
↦ Pejiño
69′
🟨 M. Cardona
D. Santigosa 🟨
70′
72′
🟨 Alex Suarez
80′
🔁 M. El Haddadi
↦ D. Sinkgraven
Luis Carbonell 🔁
↦ Dani Santigosa
86′
90′
🔁 Saúl Coco
↦ O. Mfulu
90′
🔁 J. Araujo
↦ Marc Cardona
O. Riera 🟨
91′
96′
🔁 Alberto Moleiro
↦ Álex Suárez
Iván Martínez 🔁
↦ Mario Sánchez
97′
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ Joel Rodríguez
97′
112′
🟨 A. Escandell
124′
M. El Haddadi 1–2
Alberto Moleiro
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Tudelano

4-2-3-1
23 Pablo García G
2 Mario Sánchez D
12 Borja Vicent D
5 Mikel Santamaría D
3 Ramón Riego D
18 Álvaro García M
17 Sito Barrera M
22 Xabi Irurita M
10 Colau M
14 Dani Santigosa M
16 Joel Rodríguez F
Bench (5)
20 Luis Carbonell
11 Iván Martínez
9 G. Simeone
1 De Prados
15 Manel Valdivia

Coach: Oriol Riera

Las Palmas

4-3-3
1 Aarón Escandell G
18 D. Sinkgraven D
31 Juanma Herzog D
4 Álex Suárez D
11 Benito Ramírez D
7 Cristian Herrera M
22 O. Mfulu M
8 M. Perrone M
24 Pejiño F
16 S. Kaba F
19 Marc Cardona F
Bench (11)
12 E. Loiodice
2 Marvin Park
17 M. El Haddadi
23 Saúl Coco
10 Alberto Moleiro
28 J. Araujo
33 Gabriel Palmero
27 Pau Ferrer
29 Iñaki González
34 D. Bassinga
13 Álvaro Vallés

Coach: García Pimienta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.