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Premiership

Referee: K Clancy

ST Johnstone

S U S T T

1–0

Full-time

St Mirren

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,2

This season — Premiership · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 27%

14%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

36%

53%

Both score Ø 42%

36%

47%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

0 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ST Johnstone 11. · St Mirren 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	12	3	0	+29	39
2	Rangers	14	10	1	3	+22	31
3	Hearts	14	7	2	5	+2	23
4	St Mirren	15	6	4	5	-2	22
5	Hibernian	15	5	6	4	+1	21
6	Dundee	14	4	6	4	-2	18
7	Kilmarnock	15	4	5	6	-1	17
8	Ross County	15	4	5	6	-6	17
9	Motherwell	16	3	5	8	-9	14
10	Aberdeen	13	3	4	6	-8	13
11	ST Johnstone	14	2	5	7	-13	11
12	Livingston	14	2	4	8	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	7	5	2	0	+14	17
2	Rangers	7	5	0	2	+9	15
3	St Mirren	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Kilmarnock	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	Hibernian	8	3	3	2	+3	12
6	Dundee	8	3	3	2	+0	12
7	Ross County	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Hearts	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	ST Johnstone	8	2	3	3	-4	9
10	Motherwell	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Aberdeen	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Livingston	6	1	2	3	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	8	7	1	0	+15	22
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	+13	16
3	Hearts	7	4	0	3	+2	12
4	Hibernian	7	2	3	2	-2	9
5	St Mirren	8	2	2	4	-6	8
6	Aberdeen	8	2	2	4	-8	8
7	Dundee	6	1	3	2	-2	6
8	Ross County	7	1	3	3	-6	6
9	Motherwell	8	1	3	4	-6	6
10	Livingston	8	1	2	5	-8	5
11	Kilmarnock	7	0	3	4	-5	3
12	ST Johnstone	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.