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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Hearts
T S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Rangers
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 61%
50%
71%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 25%
29%
21%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
1,0
2,1
Conceded
0,9
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Rangers 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 16 13 3 0 +32 42
2 Rangers 14 10 1 3 +22 31
3 Hearts 14 7 2 5 +2 23
4 St Mirren 16 6 4 6 -3 22
5 Hibernian 16 5 6 5 -2 21
6 Kilmarnock 16 5 5 6 +0 20
7 Dundee 14 4 6 4 -2 18
8 Ross County 15 4 5 6 -6 17
9 Motherwell 16 3 5 8 -9 14
10 ST Johnstone 15 3 5 7 -12 14
11 Aberdeen 14 3 4 7 -9 13
12 Livingston 14 2 4 8 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Oct -23 Rangers – Hearts 2–1 24. May -23 Rangers – Hearts 2–2 1. Feb -23 Hearts – Rangers 0–3 9. Nov -22 Rangers – Hearts 1–0 1. Oct -22 Hearts – Rangers 0–4

Match report

Hearts Rangers
18′
🔁 J. Cifuentes
↦ T. Lawrence
34′
⚽ A. Sima 0–1
J. Tavernier
Half-time 0–1
Y. Oda 🔁
↦ J. Grant
46′
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ N. Atkinson
46′
Kenneth Vargas 🟨
51′
Alex Cochrane 🟨
62′
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ K. Tagawa
65′
69′
🟨 Rıdvan Yılmaz
71′
🔁 K. Roofe
↦ Danilo
71′
🔁 D. Sterling
↦ R. Yılmaz
B. McKay 🔁
↦ S. Kingsley
85′
88′
🔁 S. Lammers
↦ T. Cantwell
Alan Forrest 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
3 S. Kingsley D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
13 N. Atkinson M
8 C. Nieuwenhof M
6 B. Baningime M
7 J. Grant M
19 A. Cochrane M
9 L. Shankland F
30 K. Tagawa F
Bench (9)
11 Y. Oda
77 K. Vargas
17 A. Forrest
18 B. McKay
22 A. Denholm
1 C. Gordon
21 T. Sibbick
4 C. Halkett
5 P. Haring

Coach: S. Naismith

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
27 L. Balogun D
3 R. Yılmaz D
4 J. Lundstram M
11 T. Lawrence M
45 R. McCausland M
13 T. Cantwell M
19 A. Sima M
99 Danilo F
Bench (9)
15 J. Cifuentes
25 K. Roofe
21 D. Sterling
14 S. Lammers
26 B. Davies
9 C. Dessers
28 R. McCrorie
17 R. Matondo
5 J. Souttar

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,70
🔒
U
4,33
🔒
B ✓
1,52
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,65
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,20
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.