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Süper Lig

Referee: M Erdoğan

Karagumruk

T T S U U

3–0

Full-time

Sivasspor

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 23%

18%

27%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

18%

36%

Both score Ø 59%

45%

73%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,73 xG 0,86

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 4

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 14. · Sivasspor 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	10	1	0	+15	+15.3	31
2	Fenerbahce	11	10	0	1	+23	+22.6	30
3	Trabzonspor	12	7	1	4	+7	-2.7	22
4	Kayserispor	12	6	4	2	+4	-2.8	22
5	Ad. Demirspor	11	6	3	2	+11	+4.1	21
6	Besiktas	11	6	1	4	+3	+5.8	19
7	Antalyaspor	12	5	3	4	+4	-0.3	18
8	Kasimpasa	12	5	3	4	-2	-3.1	18
9	Hatayspor	11	3	5	3	+3	+3.0	14
10	Sivasspor	11	3	5	3	-1	+0.7	14
11	Rizespor	11	4	2	5	-7	-6.6	14
12	Ankaragücü	12	3	4	5	-1	-2.5	13
13	Gaziantep	11	4	0	7	-8	-5.9	12
14	Karagumruk	11	2	5	4	+0	-5.9	11
15	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-5	-0.4	10
16	Konyaspor	12	2	4	6	-7	-3.7	10
17	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	-11	-5.4	10
18	Buyuksehyr	11	2	3	6	-7	-3.6	9
19	Samsunspor	11	2	2	7	-9	+1.6	8
20	İstanbulspor	11	1	2	8	-12	-10.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	6	6	0	0	+14	+6.2	18
2	Fenerbahce	6	5	0	1	+12	+12.9	15
3	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+7	+8.1	15
4	Trabzonspor	6	5	0	1	+6	+1.5	15
5	Kayserispor	6	4	2	0	+6	+3.2	14
6	Besiktas	5	4	1	0	+7	+5.4	13
7	Antalyaspor	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.9	11
8	Kasimpasa	7	3	1	3	-3	-2.3	10
9	Gaziantep	5	3	0	2	+0	-0.2	9
10	Hatayspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.5	8
11	Alanyaspor	6	2	2	2	+1	+1.8	8
12	Rizespor	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.0	8
13	Ankaragücü	6	2	2	2	+0	+1.3	8
14	Samsunspor	5	2	1	2	-1	+2.1	7
15	Karagumruk	6	1	3	2	+0	-3.2	6
16	Konyaspor	6	1	2	3	-2	-0.8	5
17	Buyuksehyr	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.6	4
18	Sivasspor	6	0	4	2	-3	+1.8	4
19	İstanbulspor	6	1	1	4	-5	-6.8	4
20	Pendikspor	5	0	2	3	-10	-6.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	5	1	0	+8	+7.3	16
2	Fenerbahce	5	5	0	0	+11	+9.7	15
3	Sivasspor	5	3	1	1	+2	-1.1	10
4	Kasimpasa	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.8	8
5	Pendikspor	6	2	2	2	-1	+1.0	8
6	Kayserispor	6	2	2	2	-2	-5.9	8
7	Antalyaspor	6	2	1	3	+2	+0.6	7
8	Trabzonspor	6	2	1	3	+1	-4.2	7
9	Hatayspor	6	1	3	2	+1	+0.5	6
10	Besiktas	6	2	0	4	-4	+0.4	6
11	Rizespor	6	2	0	4	-8	-6.7	6
12	Karagumruk	5	1	2	2	+0	-2.6	5
13	Ankaragücü	6	1	2	3	-1	-3.8	5
14	Konyaspor	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.8	5
15	Buyuksehyr	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.9	5
16	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	3	2	-3	-2.1	3
17	Gaziantep	6	1	0	5	-8	-5.7	3
18	Alanyaspor	5	0	2	3	-6	-2.2	2
19	İstanbulspor	5	0	1	4	-7	-3.6	1
20	Samsunspor	6	0	1	5	-8	-0.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.