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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
Young Boys
U T U S T
6–1
Full-time
Luzern
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 52%
58%
46%
Points per game
2,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
54%
Both score Ø 68%
67%
69%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
2,1
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,94 xG 2,07
52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 19
8 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 2. · Luzern 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gallen 14 8 3 3 +12 +7.4 27
2 Young Boys 12 7 4 1 +14 +1.1 25
3 Zurich 13 6 6 1 +11 -1.7 24
4 Servette 13 6 4 3 +3 +5.7 22
5 Luzern 13 6 3 4 +0 +1.2 21
6 Yverdon 14 4 5 5 -6 -4.2 17
7 Lausanne 14 4 4 6 +0 +1.9 16
8 Lugano 12 5 1 6 +0 +3.4 16
9 Winterthur 14 4 4 6 -6 +0.1 16
10 Grasshoppers 13 3 2 8 -6 -3.7 11
11 Lausanne Ouchy 12 2 4 6 -11 -4.3 10
12 Basel 12 2 2 8 -11 -6.8 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Young Boys Luzern
1–0 M. Elia
6′
2–0 D. Males
C. Niasse
13′
30′
M. Meyer 2–1
3–1 M. Elia
E. Colley
45′
Half-time 3–1
55′
🟨 Ardon Jashari
J. Nsame 🔁
↦ C. Itten
64′
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ Joël Monteiro
64′
65′
🟨 Luca Jaquez
4–1 S. Ganvoula
67′
5–1 E. Colley
73′
6–1 J. Nsame
S. Ganvoula
74′
M. Chaiwa 🔁
↦ C. Niasse
76′
F. Lustenberger 🔁
↦ D. Males
76′
76′
🔁 T. Klidje
↦ T. Okou
76′
🔁 L. Villiger
↦ S. Chader
N. Persson 🔁
↦ M. Elia
80′
83′
🔁 J. Kadák
↦ M. Meyer
83′
🔁 N. Haas
↦ P. Dorn
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
1 A. Racioppi G
27 L. Blum D
13 M. Camara D
23 L. Benito D
21 U. Garcia D
77 Joël Monteiro M
20 C. Niasse M
11 E. Colley M
39 D. Males M
9 C. Itten F
15 M. Elia F
Bench (9)
18 J. Nsame
35 S. Ganvoula
14 M. Chaiwa
28 F. Lustenberger
19 N. Persson
22 D. Rrudhani
26 D. von Ballmoos
17 S. Janko
4 A. Amenda

Coach: R. Wicky

Luzern

4-2-3-1
1 P. Loretz G
2 S. Ottiger D
4 L. Jaquez D
5 D. Simani D
13 M. Frýdek D
6 A. Jashari M
18 N. Beloko M
20 P. Dorn M
7 M. Meyer M
69 S. Chader M
11 T. Okou F
Bench (9)
17 T. Klidje
27 L. Villiger
16 J. Kadák
32 N. Haas
41 N. Rupp
90 V. Vasić
22 D. Ulrich
23 M. Willimann
21 Asumah Abubakar

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.