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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Le Havre
T T U U S
0–0
Full-time
Monaco
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
27%
64%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
64%
73%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,44 xG 0,59
37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 7. · Monaco 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 8 3 1 +20 +14.1 27
2 Nice 12 7 5 0 +9 +8.1 26
3 Monaco 11 7 2 2 +11 +6.3 23
4 Reims 12 6 2 4 +2 +2.3 20
5 Lille 11 5 4 2 +4 +3.7 19
6 Brest 11 4 3 4 -2 +1.1 15
7 Le Havre 11 3 5 3 -1 -6.6 14
8 Nantes 11 4 2 5 -4 -6.6 14
9 Montpellier 11 3 4 4 +1 +2.7 13
10 Marseille 10 3 4 3 +0 +7.9 13
11 Lens 11 3 4 4 -1 +3.7 13
12 Rennes 11 2 6 3 +1 +3.9 12
13 Strasbourg 11 3 3 5 -6 -3.1 12
14 Toulouse 11 2 5 4 -3 -8.2 11
15 Lorient 11 2 5 4 -5 -7.2 11
16 Metz 11 2 4 5 -8 -9.4 10
17 Clermont 10 1 3 6 -7 -6.4 6
18 Lyon 10 0 4 6 -11 -6.5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Havre Monaco
Mohamed Bayo 🟨
10′
21′
🟨 Denis Zakaria
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Diop
↦ K. Diatta
66′
🔁 T. Minamino
↦ M. Akliouche
Abdoulaye Touré 🟨
68′
S. Grandsir 🔁
↦ N. Alioui
72′
E. Sabbi 🔁
↦ A. Joujou
72′
73′
🔁 F. Balogun
↦ W. Ben Yedder
R. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ A. Touré
81′
Y. Kechta 🔁
↦ D. Kuzyaev
90′
A. Logbo 🔁
↦ M. Bayo
90′
Emmanuel Sabbi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
96′
97′
🟨 Edan Diop
99′
🟨 Youssouf Fofana
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Le Havre

3-4-2-1
30 A. Desmas G
93 A. Sangante D
6 É. Youté D
4 G. Lloris D
7 L. Négo M
14 D. Kuzyaev M
94 A. Touré M
23 J. Casimir M
10 N. Alioui F
21 A. Joujou F
9 M. Bayo F
Bench (9)
29 S. Grandsir
11 E. Sabbi
19 R. Ndiaye
8 Y. Kechta
20 A. Logbo
17 O. El Hajjam
1 M. Gorgelin
18 N. Mbemba
22 Y. Salmier

Coach: L. Elsner

Monaco

3-4-2-1
16 P. Köhn G
99 W. Singo D
3 G. Maripán D
88 S. Magassa D
27 K. Diatta M
6 D. Zakaria M
19 Y. Fofana M
14 I. Jakobs M
21 M. Akliouche F
17 A. Golovin F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
37 E. Diop
18 T. Minamino
29 F. Balogun
2 Vanderson
1 R. Majecki
34 C. Matsima
8 E. Matazo
20 K. Ouattara
4 M. Camara

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,45
U ✓
3,93
B
1,77
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.