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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Caen
U T U U T
3–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Quevilly Rouen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
31%
15%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
54%
62%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

69% Possession 31%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Caen 13. · Quevilly Rouen 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 13 9 2 2 +9 29
2 Angers 13 8 2 3 +9 26
3 St Etienne 13 7 3 3 +6 24
4 Auxerre 13 6 4 3 +11 22
5 Grenoble 13 5 6 2 +3 21
6 Guingamp 13 5 5 3 +7 20
7 Ajaccio 13 5 5 3 +2 20
8 Rodez 13 5 4 4 +2 19
9 Amiens 13 5 4 4 -2 19
10 Pau FC 12 5 3 4 -1 18
11 Bastia 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Bordeaux 14 4 4 6 -6 16
13 Caen 13 4 3 6 +2 15
14 Annecy 14 3 6 5 -5 15
15 Concarneau 12 4 3 5 -5 15
16 Paris FC 13 4 2 7 -3 14
17 Troyes 13 2 7 4 -1 13
18 Quevilly Rouen 13 2 4 7 -4 10
19 Dunkerque 13 2 3 8 -10 9
20 Valenciennes 13 1 6 6 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Quevilly Rouen
1–0 G. Kyeremeh
12′
20′
L. Delaurier-Chaubet 1–1
G. Gbellé
22′
G. Gbellé 1–2
K. Coulibaly
27′
🔁 B. Pierret
↦ N. Cadiou
Syam Ben Youssef 🟨
31′
2–2 Alexandre Mendy
V. Henry
43′
45′
🟨 Balthazar Pierret
Half-time 2–2
Q. Daubin 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
46′
49′
🟨 Nadjib Cisse
D. Debohi 🔁
↦ V. Henry
56′
58′
K. Coulibaly 2–3
S. Soumano
B. Brahimi 🔁
↦ Y. Court
66′
M. Le Bihan 🔁
↦ M. Autret
66′
71′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ K. Coulibaly
C. Zady Sery 🔁
↦ G. Kyeremeh
73′
81′
🔁 P. Sakho
↦ G. Gbellé
81′
🔁 P. Yade
↦ L. Delaurier-Chaubet
3–3 M. Le Bihan
96′
97′
🟥 Papa Ndiaga Yade
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Caen

4-2-3-1
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
5 S. Ben Youssef D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
18 H. Mbock M
61 B. Traoré M
8 Y. Court M
23 M. Autret M
17 G. Kyeremeh M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
6 Q. Daubin
97 D. Debohi
21 B. Brahimi
11 M. Le Bihan
10 C. Zady Sery
28 D. Diani
16 Y. Clémentia

Coach: P. Sauvaget

Quevilly Rouen

4-4-2
16 K. Bonnevie G
20 N. Cissé D
15 Steven Fortès D
5 T. Cissokho D
22 S. Loric D
23 L. Delaurier-Chaubet M
8 N. Cadiou M
17 G. Sangaré M
12 G. Gbellé M
19 K. Coulibaly F
9 S. Soumano F
Bench (7)
4 B. Pierret
93 M. Camara
77 P. Sakho
90 P. Yade
14 A. Do Marcolino
1 B. Leroy
7 J. Pendant

Coach: O. Echouafni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U ✓
3,33
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.