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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Kilmarnock
U S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Hibernian
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 12. · Hibernian 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 14 13 0 1 +36 39
2 Rangers 15 10 3 2 +20 33
3 Aberdeen 14 7 1 6 +5 22
4 Livingston 14 7 1 6 -5 22
5 St Mirren 15 6 3 6 -6 21
6 Hearts 14 6 2 6 -1 20
7 ST Johnstone 15 6 2 7 -2 20
8 Hibernian 15 6 2 7 -4 20
9 Motherwell 15 5 1 9 -2 16
10 Ross County 15 4 3 8 -12 15
11 Dundee United 15 3 3 9 -13 12
12 Kilmarnock 15 3 3 9 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Sep -22 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 1–0 16. Jan -21 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–0 24. Oct -20 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 0–1 1. Aug -20 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–1 16. Feb -20 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–2

Match report

Kilmarnock Hibernian
12′
🟨 Marijan Čabraja
Alan Power 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
Danny Armstrong ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
52′
1–0 D. Armstrong ⚽
53′
61′
🔁 E. Henderson
↦ M. Čabraja
61′
🔁 H. McKirdy
↦ N. Kenneh
66′
🟨 Ryan Porteous
Rory McKenzie 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Christopher Cadden
C. Stokes 🔁
↦ J. Dorsett
81′
A. Taylor 🔁
↦ F. Murray
84′
B. Alston 🔁
↦ L. Polworth
92′
B. Wales 🔁
↦ I. Cameron
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-4-3
20 S. Walker G
2 L. Mayo D
19 J. Wright D
3 J. Dorsett D
11 D. Armstrong M
22 L. Donnelly M
4 A. Power M
7 R. McKenzie M
31 L. Polworth F
27 I. Cameron F
15 F. Murray F
Bench (9)
6 C. Stokes
5 A. Taylor
8 B. Alston
29 B. Wales
21 K. McInroy
9 O. Shaw
10 Jordan Jones
17 B. Lyons
1 Z. Hemming

Coach: D. McInnes

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 D. Marshall G
12 C. Cadden D
5 R. Porteous D
4 P. Hanlon D
3 M. Čabraja D
32 J. Campbell M
11 J. Newell M
6 N. Kenneh M
16 L. Stevenson M
20 E. Melkersen F
99 M. Kukharevych F
Bench (8)
18 E. Henderson
22 H. McKirdy
21 K. Dąbrowski
19 D. Mitchell
33 R. Bushiri
10 Jair Tavares
23 É. Youan
25 W. Fish

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,15
🔒
U
3,33
🔒
B
2,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,09
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,72
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.