Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bochum
FC Koln
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +33 | +24.5 | 29 |
| 2 |
Leverkusen
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +20 | +9.7 | 28 |
| 3 |
Stuttgart
|
11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +15 | +16.0 | 24 |
| 4 |
Dortmund
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +4 | +0.8 | 21 |
| 5 |
RB Leipzig
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +16 | +4.1 | 20 |
| 6 |
Hoffenheim
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +3 | -0.9 | 19 |
| 7 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | +1.2 | 17 |
| 8 |
Freiburg
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -6 | -0.1 | 14 |
| 9 |
M'gladbach
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +0 | -0.2 | 13 |
| 10 |
Augsburg
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | +0.7 | 13 |
| 11 |
Wolfsburg
|
11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | -0.6 | 13 |
| 12 |
Werder Bremen
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | -4.1 | 10 |
| 13 |
Heidenheim
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | -13.0 | 10 |
| 14 |
Bochum
|
10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -14 | -9.7 | 8 |
| 15 |
Darmstadt
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -18 | -11.9 | 8 |
| 16 |
Mainz
|
11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -13 | -5.4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -11 | -2.1 | 6 |
| 18 |
FC Koln
|
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -14 | -8.8 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Darmstadt
Bochum
Bochum
Mainz
Freiburg
Bochum
RB Leipzig
Bochum
Bochum
M'gladbach
M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.