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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Motherwell
S U S S S
0–1
Full-time
St Mirren
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 88%
75%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 2. · St Mirren 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Motherwell 4 3 1 0 +3 10
3 Rangers 5 3 0 2 +6 9
4 St Mirren 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Ross County 5 2 1 2 -1 7
6 Livingston 5 1 3 1 -3 6
7 Dundee 4 1 2 1 +0 5
8 Hearts 4 1 1 2 +0 4
9 Kilmarnock 4 1 1 2 -1 4
10 Hibernian 4 1 0 3 -1 3
11 Aberdeen 4 0 2 2 -4 2
12 ST Johnstone 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -23 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–1 28. Jan -23 St Mirren – Motherwell 1–0 31. Jul -22 St Mirren – Motherwell 0–1 2. Apr -22 Motherwell – St Mirren 4–2 1. Feb -22 St Mirren – Motherwell 1–1

Match report

Motherwell St Mirren
20′
🟨 Marcus Fraser
43′
🟨 Richard Taylor
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Baccus
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
46′
🔁 C. Dunne
↦ R. Taylor
55′
⚽ S. Tanser 0–1
R. Strain
63′
🟨 Keanu Baccus
65′
🟨 Ryan Strain
68′
🔁 T. Olusanya
↦ C. McMenamin
O. Shaw 🔁
↦ T. Bair
78′
82′
🟨 Zachary Hemming
G. Gent 🔁
↦ S. ODonnell
83′
83′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ M. Mandron
83′
🔁 J. Bolton
↦ R. Strain
M. Ferrie 🔁
↦ S. Blaney
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-3
1 L. Kelly G
15 D. Casey D
5 B. Mugabi D
20 S. Blaney D
2 S. O'Donnell M
12 H. Paton M
38 L. Miller M
22 B. Spencer M
8 C. Slattery F
14 T. Bair F
7 B. Spittal F
Bench (9)
18 O. Shaw
3 G. Gent
30 M. Ferrie
23 E. Wilson
42 M. Ross
13 A. Oxborough
39 L. Ross
17 D. Zdravkovski
19 N. McGinley

Coach: S. Kettlewell

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
23 R. Strain M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
9 M. Mandron F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
17 K. Baccus
18 C. Dunne
20 T. Olusanya
21 A. Greive
2 J. Bolton
16 T. Small
19 S. Nahmani
24 L. Jamieson
27 P. Urminský

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
🔒
U
3,18
🔒
B ✓
3,21
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,29
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,60
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.