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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
St Mirren
U U S U U
1–1
Full-time
Hearts
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 43%
39%
47%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
68%
Both score Ø 54%
44%
63%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

26% Possession 74%
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Hearts 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 20 18 1 1 +46 55
2 Rangers 20 14 4 2 +26 46
3 Hearts 19 9 4 6 +5 31
4 Livingston 20 8 4 8 -8 28
5 Aberdeen 20 8 2 10 +1 26
6 St Mirren 18 7 5 6 -4 26
7 ST Johnstone 20 7 3 10 -6 24
8 Hibernian 20 7 2 11 -9 23
9 Kilmarnock 20 5 5 10 -16 20
10 Motherwell 19 5 4 10 -5 19
11 Dundee United 19 5 4 10 -10 19
12 Ross County 21 4 4 13 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Hearts
1–0 R. Strain
4′
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ R. Strain
18′
Keanu Baccus 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
G. Kiltie 🔁
↦ K. Baccus
46′
47′
🟨 Barrie McKay
49′
R. Snodgrass 1–1
B. McKay
Mark O'Hara 🟨
56′
69′
🔁 S. Humphrys
↦ A. Forrest
T. Olusanya 🔁
↦ A. Greive
78′
81′
🔁 J. Grant
↦ C. Devlin
86′
🟨 Robert Snodgrass
Marcus Fraser ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
94′
Marcus Fraser 🟥
95′
R. Taylor 🔁
↦ T. Olusanya
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
22 M. Fraser D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
17 K. Baccus M
13 A. Gogić M
6 M. O'Hara M
21 A. Greive
10 C. Main F
Bench (9)
8 R. Flynn
11 G. Kiltie
20 T. Olusanya
5 R. Taylor
34 M. Campbell
15 D. Reid
30 F. Taylor
27 P. Urminský
9 E. Brophy

Coach: S. Robinson

Hearts

3-4-2-1
28 Z. Clark G
21 T. Sibbick D
15 K. Rowles D
19 A. Cochrane D
2 M. Smith M
14 C. Devlin M
77 R. Snodgrass M
17 A. Forrest M
30 J. Ginnelly F
18 B. McKay F
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (8)
29 S. Humphrys
7 J. Grant
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou
22 E. Henderson
12 N. Atkinson
27 C. Smith
13 R. Stewart
20 L. Neilson

Coach: R. Neilson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,82
U ✓
3,40
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.