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Conference League
Referee: A Treimanis
Hearts
U S T U S
1–2
Full-time
PAOK
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
100%
25%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Hearts PAOK
Kenneth Vargas ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
7′
1–0 L. Shankland ⚽
9′
12′
⚽ S. Schwab 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Lawrence Shankland 🟨
51′
51′
🟨 Theocharis Tsingaras
A. Lowry 🔁
↦ B. McKay
65′
Frankie Kent ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
68′
70′
🔁 T. Murg
↦ G. Konstantelias
75′
⚽ A. Živković 1–2
79′
🔁 K. Narey
↦ Taison
Cameron Devlin 🟨
82′
82′
🟨 William Troost-Ekong
T. Sibbick 🔁
↦ A. Cochrane
87′
K. Tagawa 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
87′
88′
🔁 S. Tzimas
↦ Brandon Thomas
Y. Oda 🔁
↦ K. Vargas
90′
O. Offiah 🔁
↦ N. Atkinson
90′
95′
🟨 Rafa Soares
99′
🟨 Thomas Murg
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hearts

4-4-2
28 Z. Clark G
13 N. Atkinson D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
3 S. Kingsley D
77 K. Vargas M
14 C. Devlin M
19 A. Cochrane M
18 B. McKay M
9 L. Shankland F
10 L. Boyce F
Bench (12)
51 A. Lowry
21 T. Sibbick
30 K. Tagawa
11 Y. Oda
29 O. Offiah
16 A. Halliday
25 M. Tait
12 M. McGovern
23 H. Stone
17 A. Forrest
22 A. Denholm
54 J. Wilson

Coach: F. McAvoy

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
16 T. Kędziora D
15 W. Troost-Ekong D
4 K. Koulierakis D
55 Rafa Soares D
22 S. Schwab M
6 T. Tsingaras M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (12)
10 T. Murg
77 K. Narey
95 S. Tzimas
38 K. Giaxis
18 Ž. Živković
29 G. Vrakas
3 I. Näsberg
19 L. Lyratzis
5 G. Michailidis
23 Joan Sastre
20 Vieirinha
64 C. Talichmanidis

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Treimanis · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.