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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Celtic
S S S U S
4–0
Full-time
St Mirren
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 63%
90%
35%
Points per game
2,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
76%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
52%
45%
Average goals
3,9
2,5
Scored
3,1
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

76% Possession 24%
17 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
5 Free kicks against 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · St Mirren 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 19 1 1 +48 58
2 Rangers 21 15 4 2 +28 49
3 Hearts 21 10 5 6 +6 35
4 Livingston 21 9 4 8 -6 31
5 Aberdeen 21 9 2 10 +3 29
6 St Mirren 20 7 6 7 -5 27
7 Hibernian 22 8 3 11 -8 27
8 ST Johnstone 22 7 3 12 -10 24
9 Motherwell 21 5 5 11 -6 20
10 Dundee United 21 5 5 11 -12 20
11 Kilmarnock 21 5 5 11 -18 20
12 Ross County 22 4 5 13 -20 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Sep -22 St Mirren – Celtic 2–0 2. Mar -22 Celtic – St Mirren 2–0 22. Dec -21 St Mirren – Celtic 0–0 21. Aug -21 Celtic – St Mirren 6–0 10. Feb -21 St Mirren – Celtic 0–4

Match report

Celtic St Mirren
1–0 L. Abada ⚽
15′
2–0 K. Furuhashi ⚽
R. Hatate
35′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 K. Furuhashi ⚽
Jota
53′
Kyogo Furuhashi ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
54′
61′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ J. Ayunga
61′
🔁 R. Taylor
↦ C. Dunne
61′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ K. Baccus
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ L. Abada
69′
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ M. ORiley
70′
A. Mooy 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
70′
D. Maeda 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
79′
S. Hakšabanović 🔁
↦ Jota
80′
84′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ R. Strain
4–0 D. Turnbull ⚽
A. Mooy
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
4 C. Starfelt D
18 Y. Kobayashi D
88 J. Juranović D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
11 L. Abada F
8 K. Furuhashi F
17 Jota F
Bench (9)
49 J. Forrest
14 D. Turnbull
13 A. Mooy
38 D. Maeda
9 S. Hakšabanović
29 S. Bain
57 S. Welsh
24 T. Iwata
56 A. Ralston

Coach: A. Postecoglou

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
31 D. Gallagher D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
17 K. Baccus M
16 E. Erhahon M
13 A. Gogić M
10 C. Main F
7 J. Ayunga F
Bench (9)
21 A. Greive
5 R. Taylor
11 G. Kiltie
8 R. Flynn
9 E. Brophy
32 L. Kenny
20 T. Olusanya
30 F. Taylor
27 P. Urminský

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,11
🔒
U
8,97
🔒
B
20,27
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,36
🔒
U2,5
3,02
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.