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Premiership
Referee: G Aitken
Hibernian
S T U T U
0–1
Full-time
St Mirren
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
42%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
42%
52%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 5. · St Mirren 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 18 3 3 +37 57
2 Rangers 24 17 5 2 +27 56
3 Hearts 24 12 7 5 +14 43
4 Motherwell 24 9 6 9 -6 33
5 Hibernian 24 8 7 9 -1 31
6 Aberdeen 23 8 5 10 +0 29
7 Dundee United 24 8 5 11 -8 29
8 Ross County 25 6 8 11 -6 26
9 Livingston 24 7 5 12 -9 26
10 St Mirren 23 5 11 7 -11 26
11 ST Johnstone 23 4 6 13 -15 18
12 Dundee 24 4 6 14 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Dec -21 St Mirren – Hibernian 1–1 18. Sep -21 Hibernian – St Mirren 2–2 2. Feb -21 St Mirren – Hibernian 1–2 23. Dec -20 Hibernian – St Mirren 1–0 12. Sep -20 St Mirren – Hibernian 0–3

Match report

Hibernian St Mirren
Demetri Mitchell 🟨
10′
28′
🟨 Richard Tait
Jake Doyle Hayes 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
E. Henderson 🔁
↦ C. Doidge
46′
62′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ J. Henderson
62′
⚽ C. Ronan 0–1
S. Jasper 🔁
↦ J. Campbell
69′
70′
🔁 E. Erhahon
↦ A. Power
70′
🔁 C. Main
↦ A. Greive
78′
🔁 M. Millar
↦ Jordan Jones
J. Doig 🔁
↦ L. Stevenson
81′
J. Scott 🔁
↦ D. Mitchell
81′
S. Allan 🔁
↦ J. Doyle-Hayes
83′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
21 M. Dąbrowski G
16 L. Stevenson D
27 C. Cadden M
5 R. Porteous D
33 R. Bushiri D
19 D. Mitchell M
22 J. Doyle-Hayes M
14 C. Mueller F
32 J. Campbell M
9 C. Doidge F
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
80 E. Henderson
20 S. Jasper
3 J. Doig
25 J. Scott
23 S. Allan
1 M. Macey
24 D. McGregor
8 D. Wright
6 P. McGinn

Coach: S. Maloney

St Mirren

4-2-3-1
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
18 C. Dunne D
6 A. Power M
7 Jordan Jones M
11 G. Kiltie M
43 C. Ronan M
12 J. Henderson M
21 A. Greive F
Bench (7)
8 R. Flynn
16 E. Erhahon
10 C. Main
44 M. Millar
23 L. Erwin
26 D. Lyness
5 C. McCarthy

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,85
🔒
U
3,49
🔒
B ✓
4,24
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,13
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,70
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Aitken · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.