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Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
St Mirren
T S T T T
0–1
Full-time
Hibernian
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 26%
24%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
42%
36%
Both score Ø 44%
48%
39%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 10. · Hibernian 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 33 26 4 3 +59 82
2 Rangers 34 24 7 3 +42 79
3 Hearts 33 16 9 8 +15 57
4 Dundee United 33 10 11 12 -6 41
5 Ross County 33 10 10 13 -7 40
6 Motherwell 34 10 10 14 -14 40
7 Hibernian 33 9 11 13 -6 38
8 Livingston 33 10 8 15 -8 38
9 Aberdeen 33 9 9 15 -4 36
10 St Mirren 33 8 12 13 -20 36
11 ST Johnstone 34 7 10 17 -23 31
12 Dundee 34 5 11 18 -28 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Feb -22 Hibernian – St Mirren 0–1 11. Dec -21 St Mirren – Hibernian 1–1 18. Sep -21 Hibernian – St Mirren 2–2 2. Feb -21 St Mirren – Hibernian 1–2 23. Dec -20 Hibernian – St Mirren 1–0

Match report

St Mirren Hibernian
J. Henderson 🔁
↦ R. Tait
11′
Conor McCarthy 🟨
13′
21′
🔁 J. Doig
↦ C. Cadden
Half-time 0–0
A. Greive 🔁
↦ E. Brophy
49′
58′
🟨 Lewis Stevenson
69′
🔁 C. Mueller
↦ E. Melkersen
74′
⚽ E. Henderson 0–1
H. Clarke
83′
🔁 S. Jasper
↦ J. Scott
83′
🔁 J. Campbell
↦ E. Henderson
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ E. Erhahon
84′
Jordan Jones 🔁
↦ A. Power
85′
90′
🟨 Chris Mueller
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait M
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
3 S. Tanser M
5 C. McCarthy D
6 A. Power M
43 C. Ronan M
16 E. Erhahon M
10 C. Main F
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (7)
12 J. Henderson
21 A. Greive
8 R. Flynn
7 Jordan Jones
26 D. Lyness
39 K. Smith
11 G. Kiltie

Coach: S. Robinson

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 M. Macey G
16 L. Stevenson D
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
27 C. Cadden M
2 H. Clarke M
11 J. Newell M
22 J. Doyle-Hayes M
80 E. Henderson F
25 J. Scott F
34 E. Melkersen F
Bench (9)
3 J. Doig
14 C. Mueller
20 S. Jasper
32 J. Campbell
36 A. Delferriere
21 M. Dąbrowski
33 R. Bushiri
23 S. Allan
24 D. McGregor

Coach: S. Maloney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,17
🔒
U
3,10
🔒
B ✓
2,38
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,38
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,57
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.