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Copa del Rey
Referee: Jorge Figueroa
0–9
Full-time
Villarreal
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Amalia Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Algar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Mollerussa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Santa Amalia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Cazalegas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Velarde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
28 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Rincón 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
34 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
52 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Amalia Villarreal
J. Rubio 🟨
5′
31′
Diego Collado 0–1
S. Chukwueze
35′
Álex Baena 0–2
S. Chukwueze
36′
José Luis Morales 0–3
F. Coquelin
Half-time 0–4
47′
S. Chukwueze 0–4
J. Foyth
49′
S. Chukwueze 0–5
J. Foyth
Santi Gil 🔁
↦ Tomás Suárez
50′
Carlinos 🔁
↦ Jesús Rubio
50′
Jesús Guinda 🔁
↦ Roberto Rico
51′
55′
🔁 M. Fall
↦ J. Foyth
55′
🔁 Gerard Moreno
↦ S. Chukwueze
61′
F. Coquelin 0–6
Gerard Moreno
Samuel Cidoncha 🔁
↦ Loren Ruiz
68′
74′
Gerard Moreno 0–7
José Luis Morales
José Miranda 🔁
↦ Sergio Cordero
76′
76′
🔁 Dani Parejo
↦ F. Coquelin
76′
🔁 É. Capoue
↦ Manu Morlanes
76′
🔁 Manu Trigueros
↦ Álex Baena
80′
É. Capoue 0–8
A. Mandi
87′
Gerard Moreno 0–9
É. Capoue
Full-time 0–9

Line-ups

Santa Amalia

1 Rubén Gómez
3 Carlos Gómez
5 Tomás Suárez
22 Manuel García
14 Jesús Rubio
9 Javi Martín
18 Loren Ruiz
21 Manuel González
8 Roberto Rico
20 José Antonio García
10 Sergio Cordero
Bench (10)
4 Santi Gil
19 Carlinos
17 Jesús Guinda
11 Samuel Cidoncha
23 José Miranda
6 Antonio José González
7 Antonio Mora
16 Ángel Maldonado
27 Luis Guerra
2 Juan Peña

Coach: Domingo Suero

Villarreal

1 Pepe Reina
23 A. Mandi
12 J. Mojica
8 J. Foyth
5 Jorge Cuenca
19 F. Coquelin
20 Manu Morlanes
11 S. Chukwueze
16 Álex Baena
22 José Luis Morales
27 Diego Collado
Bench (10)
33 M. Fall
7 Gerard Moreno
10 Dani Parejo
6 É. Capoue
14 Manu Trigueros
31 Iker Álvarez
2 Kiko Femenía
35 F. Jörgensen
9 A. Danjuma
18 Alberto Moreno

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jorge Figueroa · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.