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Bundesliga

Referee: M Jöllenbeck

Werder Bremen

U T S S T

1–2

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,2

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 47%

43%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

57%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

7 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

0 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 8. · RB Leipzig 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	9	4	1	+34	31
2	Union Berlin	14	8	3	3	+7	27
3	Freiburg	14	8	3	3	+5	27
4	Ein Frankfurt	14	8	2	4	+8	26
5	RB Leipzig	14	7	4	3	+8	25
6	Dortmund	15	8	1	6	+4	25
7	M'gladbach	15	6	4	5	+4	22
8	Werder Bremen	14	6	3	5	-1	21
9	Wolfsburg	14	5	5	4	+3	20
10	Hoffenheim	14	5	3	6	+1	18
11	Mainz	14	5	3	6	-5	18
12	FC Koln	14	4	5	5	-6	17
13	Leverkusen	14	4	3	7	-3	15
14	Augsburg	14	4	3	7	-7	15
15	Stuttgart	14	3	5	6	-7	14
16	Hertha	14	2	5	7	-5	11
17	Bochum	14	3	1	10	-23	10
18	Schalke 04	14	2	3	9	-17	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	6	1	0	+14	19
2	M'gladbach	8	6	0	2	+10	18
3	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+20	17
4	Union Berlin	7	5	2	0	+8	17
5	Dortmund	7	5	1	1	+10	16
6	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	1	3	+5	13
7	Freiburg	6	4	1	1	+4	13
8	Wolfsburg	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	FC Koln	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Stuttgart	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Werder Bremen	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	Hoffenheim	7	3	1	3	+0	10
13	Bochum	7	3	1	3	-5	10
14	Leverkusen	7	2	2	3	+4	8
15	Hertha	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Schalke 04	7	2	1	4	-8	7
17	Mainz	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Augsburg	7	1	2	4	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	4	2	1	+14	14
2	Freiburg	8	4	2	2	+1	14
3	Ein Frankfurt	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Mainz	8	4	0	4	-4	12
5	Werder Bremen	7	3	2	2	-3	11
6	Augsburg	7	3	1	3	+0	10
7	Union Berlin	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Dortmund	8	3	0	5	-6	9
9	Hoffenheim	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Wolfsburg	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Leverkusen	7	2	1	4	-7	7
12	RB Leipzig	7	1	3	3	-6	6
13	FC Koln	7	1	3	3	-8	6
14	Hertha	7	1	1	5	-4	4
15	M'gladbach	7	0	4	3	-6	4
16	Stuttgart	6	0	3	3	-8	3
17	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Bochum	7	0	0	7	-18	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.