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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

PSV Eindhoven

T S S S S

0–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 70%

77%

62%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

85%

69%

Both score Ø 73%

69%

77%

Average goals

4,7

3,1

Scored

3,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

10 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · AZ Alkmaar 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	9	3	2	+27	30
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	0	3	+23	30
3	Feyenoord	13	9	3	1	+18	30
4	Twente	12	8	2	2	+16	26
5	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	+8	26
6	Sparta Rotterdam	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	Utrecht	13	6	3	4	+0	21
8	Waalwijk	13	4	5	4	+2	17
9	Heerenveen	12	4	5	3	+1	17
10	Nijmegen	13	2	8	3	-2	14
11	Go Ahead Eagles	13	3	5	5	-3	14
12	Excelsior	13	4	1	8	-17	13
13	For Sittard	13	3	3	7	-8	12
14	Groningen	13	3	3	7	-11	12
15	Vitesse	13	3	3	7	-13	12
16	FC Emmen	14	2	5	7	-14	11
17	Cambuur	13	2	2	9	-12	8
18	Volendam	14	1	3	10	-26	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+19	18
3	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5	0	2	+9	15
4	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+19	14
5	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+10	14
6	Waalwijk	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Excelsior	6	3	0	3	-3	9
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Utrecht	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	FC Emmen	7	1	5	1	-2	8
12	Groningen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	For Sittard	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Nijmegen	6	0	5	1	-1	5
15	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Vitesse	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	Cambuur	7	1	0	6	-6	3
18	Volendam	7	1	0	6	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	0	2	+6	15
4	Utrecht	7	4	1	2	+1	13
5	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	0	3	+4	12
6	Heerenveen	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Nijmegen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Vitesse	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Waalwijk	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Cambuur	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-9	5
16	Excelsior	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	FC Emmen	7	1	0	6	-12	3
18	Volendam	7	0	3	4	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.