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Copa del Rey

Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera

Almazán

0–2

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Algar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Mollerussa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Guijuelo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Cazalegas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Velarde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
30	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
35	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
36	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Algar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Mollerussa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Guijuelo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Cazalegas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Velarde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
14	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
17	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almazán Ath Madrid

D. Martinez 🟨

16′

J. Sanchez 🟨

26′

35′

⚽ Á. Correa 0–1

Half-time 0–1

46′

🔁 R. De Paul

↦ S. Savić

46′

🔁 J. Giménez

↦ Marcos Llorente

A. Tabarnero 🟨

56′

63′

⚽ João Félix 0–2

R. De Paul

Diego Mateo 🔁

↦ Íñigo Miranda

67′

Khalifa 🔁

↦ Jesús Sánchez

67′

🔁 Matheus Cunha

↦ Á. Correa

Larry Opara 🔁

↦ Javier Albitre

68′

77′

🟨 J. Gimenez

Daniel Iraola 🔁

↦ Dani Martínez

81′

Javi Márquez 🔁

↦ Alberto González

88′

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Almazán

13 Alberto González

4 Anto

2 Íñigo Miranda

5 Rafael Checa

19 Víctor Moreno

8 Alberto Plaza

6 Jesús Sánchez

7 Ángel Losilla

10 Javier Albitre

14 Dani Martínez

18 Edipo Rodríguez

Bench (11)

3 Diego Mateo

17 Khalifa

15 Larry Opara

16 Daniel Iraola

1 Javi Márquez

22 Diego Ciria

11 Héctor Lapeña

12 Adrián Díez

20 Marcos Abadiano

21 Pablo Sanz

9 Carlos Elvira

Coach: Diego Rojas

Ath Madrid

J. Oblak

S. Savić

Reinildo

Hermoso

N. Molina

A. Witsel

Koke

Marcos Llorente

8 A. Griezmann

10 Á. Correa

7 João Félix

Bench (8)

5 R. De Paul

2 J. Giménez

9 Matheus Cunha

31 Antonio Gomis

1 I. Grbić

30 Sergio Díez

29 Carlos Martín

18 Felipe

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Isidro Díaz de Mera · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,4 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

26,2 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Almazán

Ath Madrid

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee