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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Uğurlu
Sivasspor
T S T U T
2–2
Full-time
Ümraniyespor
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Ümraniyespor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 12%
15%
8%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
58%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sivasspor 17. · Ümraniyespor 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 12 9 2 1 +23 29
2 Buyuksehyr 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Ad. Demirspor 13 6 6 1 +10 24
4 Galatasaray 12 7 3 2 +6 24
5 Kayserispor 13 7 2 4 +6 23
6 Trabzonspor 13 6 5 2 +3 23
7 Besiktas 13 6 4 3 +8 22
8 Konyaspor 13 5 6 2 +6 21
9 Alanyaspor 14 4 5 5 -5 17
10 Antalyaspor 12 5 1 6 -2 16
11 Gaziantep 12 4 3 5 +0 15
12 Kasimpasa 13 4 3 6 -11 15
13 Ankaragücü 13 3 4 6 -5 13
14 Karagumruk 12 3 3 6 -3 12
15 Giresunspor 12 3 3 6 -8 12
16 Hatayspor 12 3 2 7 -11 11
17 Sivasspor 13 2 4 7 -6 10
18 İstanbulspor 12 2 2 8 -13 8
19 Ümraniyespor 12 1 3 8 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sivasspor Ümraniyespor
27′
D. Avounou 0–1
I. Sackey
1–1 M. Yatabaré
31′
Dia Saba 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–1
K. Keita 🔁
↦ R. Yalçın
46′
H. Arslan 🔁
↦ F. Ulvestad
46′
2–1 C. N'Jie
D. Sabi'A
59′
60′
🔁 A. Bettaieb
↦ Y. Del Valle
70′
🔁 K. Yılmaz
↦ O. Atasayar
71′
🔁 O. Ayık
↦ S. Göksu
76′
🔁 A. Mršić
↦ D. Avounou
76′
🔁 M. Mimaroğlu
↦ Geraldo
82′
ℹ️ Adel Bettaieb
VAR: Penalty confirmed
83′
A. Mršić 2–2
A. Musa 🔁
↦ M. Gradel
91′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sivasspor

4-2-3-1
35 A. Vural G
17 E. Yeşilyurt D
6 D. Goutas D
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
58 Z. Erdal D
8 R. Yalçın M
23 F. Ulvestad M
10 C. N'Jie M
11 D. Sabi'A M
7 M. Gradel M
9 M. Yatabaré F
Bench (10)
28 K. Keita
37 H. Arslan
26 A. Musa
62 Ö. Yiğiter
96 M. Albayrak
14 S. Camara
3 U. Çiftçi
15 C. Charisis
25 M. Yıldırım
19 K. Angielski

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Ümraniyespor

4-3-3
13 O. Özdemir G
90 S. Popov D
33 Allyson D
44 T. Glumac D
16 O. Atasayar D
8 S. Göksu M
5 I. Sackey M
14 D. Avounou M
29 Geraldo F
18 U. Nayir F
28 Y. Del Valle F
Bench (10)
27 A. Bettaieb
41 K. Yılmaz
11 O. Ayık
39 A. Mršić
10 M. Mimaroğlu
34 A. Demir
3 E. Lenjani
20 O. Gürbulak
4 M. Eser
7 V. Gheorghe

Coach: R. Uçar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U ✓
3,59
B
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Uğurlu · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.