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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Leverkusen
U T U S S
2–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
79%
64%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 13. · Stuttgart 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 9 4 1 +34 31
2 Union Berlin 14 8 3 3 +7 27
3 Freiburg 14 8 3 3 +5 27
4 Ein Frankfurt 14 8 2 4 +8 26
5 RB Leipzig 14 7 4 3 +8 25
6 Dortmund 15 8 1 6 +4 25
7 M'gladbach 15 6 4 5 +4 22
8 Werder Bremen 14 6 3 5 -1 21
9 Wolfsburg 14 5 5 4 +3 20
10 Hoffenheim 14 5 3 6 +1 18
11 Mainz 14 5 3 6 -5 18
12 FC Koln 14 4 5 5 -6 17
13 Leverkusen 14 4 3 7 -3 15
14 Augsburg 14 4 3 7 -7 15
15 Stuttgart 14 3 5 6 -7 14
16 Hertha 14 2 5 7 -5 11
17 Bochum 14 3 1 10 -23 10
18 Schalke 04 14 2 3 9 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Stuttgart
1–0 M. Diaby
K. Demirbay
30′
39′
🟨 Dan-Axel Zagadou
Half-time 1–0
A. Hložek 🔁
↦ A. Adli
59′
61′
🟨 Chris Führich
65′
🟨 Tiago Tomás
66′
🔁 L. Pfeiffer
↦ Tiago Tomás
67′
🔁 T. Coulibaly
↦ J. Vagnoman
Nadiem Amiri 🟨
69′
2–0 J. Tah
E. Palacios
82′
85′
🔁 L. Ulrich
↦ E. Millot
85′
🔁 J. Perea
↦ C. Führich
D. Sinkgraven 🔁
↦ N. Amiri
87′
K. Bellarabi 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
87′
Adam Hložek 🟨
92′
T. Fosu-Mensah 🔁
↦ J. Frimpong
94′
A. Azhil 🔁
↦ K. Demirbay
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-3
1 L. Hrádecký G
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
25 E. Palacios M
10 K. Demirbay M
5 M. Bakker M
19 M. Diaby F
11 N. Amiri F
21 A. Adli F
Bench (9)
23 A. Hložek
22 D. Sinkgraven
38 K. Bellarabi
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
32 A. Azhil
36 N. Lomb
17 C. Hudson-Odoi
40 A. Lunev
29 Z. Sertdemir

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 F. Müller G
2 W. Anton D
23 D. Zagadou D
21 H. Ito D
4 J. Vagnoman M
32 N. Ahamada M
16 A. Karazor M
22 C. Führich M
8 E. Millot F
10 Tiago Tomás F
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (9)
20 L. Pfeiffer
7 T. Coulibaly
36 L. Ulrich
11 J. Perea
25 L. Egloff
33 F. Bredlow
34 M. Hoppe
37 A. Aidonis
39 T. Kastanaras

Coach: M. Wimmer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
4,14
B
4,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.