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Serie B

Referee: D Ghersini

Modena

S T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Perugia

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,1

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

42%

Both score Ø 46%

50%

42%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

14 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 15. · Perugia 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	13	10	0	3	+12	30
2	Reggina	12	7	1	4	+12	22
3	Genoa	12	6	4	2	+5	22
4	Ternana	12	6	3	3	+4	21
5	Bari	12	5	5	2	+6	20
6	Parma	12	5	4	3	+4	19
7	Ascoli	13	5	4	4	+2	19
8	Brescia	12	5	4	3	-1	19
9	Sudtirol	12	5	4	3	-1	19
10	Cagliari	12	4	4	4	-1	16
11	Spal	12	3	6	3	+2	15
12	Cittadella	12	3	6	3	-2	15
13	Palermo	12	4	3	5	-3	15
14	Pisa	12	3	5	4	+2	14
15	Modena	12	4	1	7	-1	13
16	Como	12	3	3	6	-9	12
17	Benevento	12	2	5	5	-3	11
18	Cosenza	12	3	2	7	-10	11
19	Venezia	12	2	3	7	-7	9
20	Perugia	12	2	1	9	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Reggina	6	5	0	1	+13	15
3	Parma	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Brescia	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Ternana	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Palermo	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Como	7	3	2	2	+0	11
8	Spal	6	3	1	2	+4	10
9	Cagliari	6	3	1	2	-1	10
10	Modena	6	3	0	3	+3	9
11	Sudtirol	6	2	3	1	+1	9
12	Cittadella	6	2	3	1	+0	9
13	Pisa	6	2	2	2	+2	8
14	Ascoli	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Genoa	5	1	4	0	+1	7
16	Bari	5	1	3	1	+2	6
17	Cosenza	5	2	0	3	+0	6
18	Benevento	7	1	3	3	-3	6
19	Perugia	6	1	1	4	-6	4
20	Venezia	6	0	1	5	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	7	5	0	2	+4	15
2	Bari	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Frosinone	7	4	0	3	+2	12
4	Ascoli	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Ternana	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Sudtirol	6	3	1	2	-2	10
7	Venezia	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Reggina	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Brescia	6	2	1	3	-5	7
10	Pisa	6	1	3	2	+0	6
11	Parma	6	1	3	2	+0	6
12	Cagliari	6	1	3	2	+0	6
13	Cittadella	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Benevento	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	Spal	6	0	5	1	-2	5
16	Cosenza	7	1	2	4	-10	5
17	Modena	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Palermo	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Perugia	6	1	0	5	-5	3
20	Como	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.