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Ligue 2

Referee: N Rainville

Paris FC

T S U S S

1–4

Full-time

Metz

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

36%

43%

Both score Ø 43%

50%

36%

Average goals

1,8

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 11

3 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 8

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris FC 9. · Metz 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	14	8	5	1	+17	29
2	Bordeaux	14	8	3	3	+11	27
3	Grenoble	14	7	4	3	+4	25
4	Sochaux	14	7	3	4	+11	24
5	Valenciennes	14	6	5	3	+2	23
6	Amiens	14	7	2	5	+1	23
7	Caen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
8	Guingamp	14	5	5	4	+1	20
9	Paris FC	14	5	5	4	+1	20
10	Pau FC	14	5	5	4	-3	20
11	Metz	14	5	3	6	+0	18
12	Bastia	14	5	3	6	-5	18
13	Laval	14	5	2	7	+0	17
14	Annecy	14	4	3	7	-2	15
15	Quevilly Rouen	14	3	6	5	-5	15
16	Rodez	15	3	6	6	-6	15
17	Nimes	14	4	2	8	-5	14
18	Dijon	14	3	5	6	-5	14
19	St Etienne	15	3	5	7	-6	14
20	Niort	14	3	2	9	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Bordeaux	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Amiens	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Grenoble	7	5	1	1	+4	16
5	Le Havre	7	4	3	0	+8	15
6	Valenciennes	7	4	3	0	+4	15
7	Sochaux	7	4	2	1	+8	14
8	Metz	8	4	2	2	+3	14
9	Nimes	7	4	1	2	+3	13
10	Pau FC	7	3	3	1	+0	12
11	Bastia	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Dijon	8	2	4	2	-2	10
13	Quevilly Rouen	7	2	3	2	+0	9
14	Guingamp	7	2	3	2	+0	9
15	St Etienne	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Laval	7	2	1	4	+0	7
17	Annecy	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Niort	7	2	1	4	-6	7
19	Paris FC	6	1	2	3	-3	5
20	Rodez	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	8	4	3	1	+4	15
2	Le Havre	7	4	2	1	+9	14
3	Rodez	8	3	3	2	+2	12
4	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+3	11
5	Guingamp	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Sochaux	7	3	1	3	+3	10
7	Laval	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	Grenoble	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Annecy	7	2	2	3	+2	8
10	Valenciennes	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Bastia	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Amiens	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	St Etienne	8	1	3	4	-3	6
15	Caen	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Quevilly Rouen	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Metz	6	1	1	4	-3	4
18	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-3	4
19	Niort	7	1	1	5	-8	4
20	Nimes	7	0	1	6	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.